Udinese vs Parma
Udinese
#11 · Serie A
LWDWL
0 - 1
Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udine
Referee: D. Di Marco
Parma
#14 · Serie A
WDLLD
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.65
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.60 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 61.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Udinese will face Parma in the Serie A at Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Udinese has a 47.8% probability of winning this match. Parma has a 26% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 26.2%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Parma have kept clean sheets in 43% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Udinese47.8%2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.561%1.60
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No54.5%1.79
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.69
17.6%
1-0
6.03
16.6%
0-0
7.02
14.4%
0-1
8.44
11.9%
2-1
8.87
11.3%
2-0
9.12
11%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.20 | Draw 3.00 | Away 3.76 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.35 | Under 1.60 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.42 | Under 2.76 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 4.34 | Under 1.20 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.96 | No 1.79 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.26 | 12 1.36 | X2 1.67 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals86.5%
Over 1.5 Goals65.9%
Over 2.5 Goals39%
Over 3.5 Goals21.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 33 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 78 | 29 | 49 | 78 | WWWDD |
| 2 |  Napoli | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 69 | WLDWW |
| 3 |  AC Milan | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 | WLLWL |
| 4 |  Juventus | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 57 | 29 | 28 | 63 | WWWDW |
| 5 |  Como | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 58 | LLDWW |
| 6 |  AS Roma | 33 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 58 | DWLWL |
| 11 | Udinese | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 43 | LWDWL |
| 14 | Parma | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 39 | WDDLL |
| 18 |  Lecce | 33 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 28 | DLLLL |
| 19 |  Hellas Verona | 33 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 23 | 56 | -33 | 18 | LLLLL |
| 20 |  Pisa | 33 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 24 | 60 | -36 | 18 | LLLLW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonUdineseParma
1.33Goals p.g.0.79
0.93Goals conceded p.g.1.29
33%Clean sheets43%
40%Win rate36%
2.27Avg goals in match2.07
Recent Results
UdineseLAST MATCHES
18 AprUdinese0–1ParmaSerie A
11 AprAC Milan0–3UdineseSerie A
06 AprUdinese0–0ComoSerie A
20 MarGenoa0–2UdineseSerie A
14 MarUdinese0–1JuventusSerie A
07 MarAtalanta2–2UdineseSerie A
6Win40%
3Draw20%
6Lost40%
LAST MATCHESParma
18 AprUdinese0–1ParmaSerie A
04 AprLazio1–1ParmaSerie A
21 MarParma0–2CremoneseSerie A
13 MarTorino4–1ParmaSerie A
08 MarFiorentina0–0ParmaSerie A
27 FebParma1–1CagliariSerie A
5Win36%
5Draw36%
4Lost29%
Lineups
ConfirmedUdinese3-4-2-1Confirmed
27Christian KabaseleDEF
28Oumar SoletDEF
31Thomas KristensenDEF
10Nicolò ZanioloFWD
14Arthur AttaFWD
32Jürgen EkkelenkampFWD
40Maduka OkoyeGK
19Kingsley EhizibueMID
11Hassane KamaraMID
8Jesper KarlstromMID
24Jakub PiotrowskiMID
Substitutes
22Branimir MlačićDEF
15Vakoun BayoFWD
18Adam BuksaFWD
7Idrissa GueyeFWD
93Daniele PadelliGK
90Răzvan SavaGK
6Oier ZarragaMID
38Lennon MillerMID
20Juan ArizalaMID
29Abdoulaye CamaraMID
Parma3-5-2Confirmed
39Alessandro CircatiDEF
37Mariano TroiloDEF
5Lautaro ValentiDEF
9Mateo PellegrinoFWD
7Gabriel StrefezzaFWD
31Zion SuzukiGK
14Emanuele ValeriMID
41Hans Nicolussi CavigliaMID
15Enrico DelpratoMID
16Mandela KeitaMID
10Adrián BernabéMID
Substitutes
27Sascha BritschgiDEF
29Franco CarboniDEF
3Abdoulaye NdiayeDEF
11Pontus AlmqvistFWD
17Jacob OndrejkaFWD
23Nesta ElphegeFWD
66Filippo RinaldiGK
40Edoardo CorviGK
21Gaetano OristanioMID
24Christian OrdoñezMID
8Nahuel EstévezMID
22Oliver SørensenMID
Unavailable Players
7 playersUdinese4
A. Zanoli
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
J. Zemura
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
K. Davis
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
N. Bertola
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
Parma3
B. Cremaschi
Missing FixtureInjury
G. Strefezza
QuestionableInjury
M. Frigan
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.60 (61%)
Value Bets
Udinese Win2.20 (47.8%)
Draw3.00 (26.2%)
Parma Win3.76 (26%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.35 (39%)
Both Teams Score1.96 (45.5%)
BTTS No1.79 (54.5%)
