Pisa vs Lecce
Pisa
#20 · Serie A
LLLLW
VS
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa
Lecce
#18 · Serie A
DLLLW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.58
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.54 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 58.2% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Pisa will face Lecce in the Serie A at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Pisa has a 30% probability of winning this match. Lecce has a 44.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 25.7%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Both teams average a combined 1.4 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Lecce44.3%2.55
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.558.2%1.54
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No51.7%1.75
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.66
17.7%
0-1
6.33
15.8%
0-0
6.82
14.8%
1-0
6.97
14.4%
1-2
9.58
10.5%
2-1
10.62
9.5%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.95 | Draw 2.99 | Away 2.55 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.48 | Under 1.54 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.48 | Under 2.58 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 4.82 | Under 1.17 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.00 | No 1.75 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.50 | 12 1.36 | X2 1.39 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals86.4%
Over 1.5 Goals63.6%
Over 2.5 Goals41.8%
Over 3.5 Goals19.5%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 33 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 78 | 29 | 49 | 78 | WWWDD |
| 2 |  Napoli | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 69 | WLDWW |
| 3 |  AC Milan | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 | WLLWL |
| 4 |  Juventus | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 57 | 29 | 28 | 63 | WWWDW |
| 5 |  Como | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 58 | LLDWW |
| 6 |  AS Roma | 33 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 58 | DWLWL |
| 18 | Lecce | 33 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 28 | DLLLL |
| 19 |  Hellas Verona | 33 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 23 | 56 | -33 | 18 | LLLLL |
| 20 | Pisa | 33 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 24 | 60 | -36 | 18 | LLLLW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonPisaLecce
0.73Goals p.g.0.71
2.33Goals conceded p.g.1.36
7%Clean sheets14%
7%Win rate21%
3.07Avg goals in match2.07
Recent Results
PisaLAST MATCHES
19 AprPisa1–2GenoaSerie A
10 AprAS Roma3–0PisaSerie A
05 AprPisa0–1TorinoSerie A
22 MarComo5–0PisaSerie A
15 MarPisa3–1CagliariSerie A
07 MarJuventus4–0PisaSerie A
1Win7%
3Draw20%
11Lost73%
LAST MATCHESLecce
20 AprLecce1–1FiorentinaSerie A
06 AprLecce0–3AtalantaSerie A
22 MarAS Roma1–0LecceSerie A
14 MarNapoli2–1LecceSerie A
08 MarLecce2–1CremoneseSerie A
28 FebComo3–1LecceSerie A
3Win21%
2Draw14%
9Lost64%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
1 playerPisa
No reported absences
Lecce1
F. Marchwiński
Missing FixtureJumpers knee
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.54 (58.2%)
Value Bets
Pisa Win2.95 (30%)
Draw2.99 (25.7%)
Lecce Win2.55 (44.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.48 (41.8%)
Both Teams Score2.00 (48.3%)
BTTS No1.75 (51.7%)
