Tromso vs Sandefjord
Tromso
#1 · Eliteserien
WWWWW
3 - 1
Romssa Arena
Referee: M. Lien
Sandefjord
#7 · Eliteserien
DWDLL
★ OUR PICK
Tromso to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over Sandefjord make Tromso the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.60
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.55 for Tromso to Win. Our model calculates a 58.8% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Tromso will face Sandefjord in the Eliteserien at Romssa Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Tromso has a 58.8% probability of winning this match. Sandefjord has a 20.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.9%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Tromso are in outstanding form with 5 wins from their last 5 matches
- Tromso boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.6 goals per game
- Tromso have kept clean sheets in 62% of their matches
- Sandefjord have kept clean sheets in 40% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Tromso58.8%1.55
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.550.5%1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes51.5%1.75
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
7.02
14.3%
1-1
7.35
13.7%
2-1
7.47
13.5%
2-0
7.50
13.4%
3-0
11.07
9.1%
3-1
11.23
9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.55 | Draw 4.04 | Away 5.37 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.71 | Under 2.09 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.21 | Under 4.03 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.74 | Under 1.41 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.75 | No 1.97 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.14 | 12 1.20 | X2 2.34 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.5%
Over 1.5 Goals76.9%
Over 2.5 Goals50.5%
Over 3.5 Goals34%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tromso | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 16 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Lillestrom | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 13 | WDWWW |
| 3 |  Viking | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 12 | WWWWL |
| 4 |  Molde | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | DWLLW |
| 5 |  Bodo/Glimt | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | WDLW |
| 6 |  Valerenga | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 | LDLWW |
| 7 | Sandefjord | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 7 | DWWLL |
| 14 |  Brann | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 15 |  Start | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | DLDDL |
| 16 |  Aalesund | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 2 | LDLDL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonTromsoSandefjord
1.5Goals p.g.1.67
0.56Goals conceded p.g.1.13
62%Clean sheets40%
69%Win rate60%
2.06Avg goals in match2.8
Recent Results
TromsoLAST MATCHES
19 AprSarpsborg 08 FF0–1TromsoEliteserien
11 AprTromso2–0Kristiansund BKEliteserien
06 AprTromso2–0RosenborgEliteserien
27 MarTromso1–0StartFriendlies Clubs
22 MarBrann1–2TromsoEliteserien
15 MarTromso4–0FredrikstadEliteserien
11Win69%
2Draw13%
3Lost19%
LAST MATCHESSandefjord
18 AprSandefjord0–0RosenborgEliteserien
07 AprKFUM Oslo1–2SandefjordEliteserien
27 MarStromsgodset2–2SandefjordFriendlies Clubs
22 MarSandefjord0–2Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserien
15 MarValerenga1–0SandefjordEliteserien
08 MarSandefjord3–2StartFriendlies Clubs
9Win60%
3Draw20%
3Lost20%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
3 playersTromso2
J. Grundt
Missing FixtureFoot Injury
V. Ekblom
Missing FixtureGroin Injury
Sandefjord1
J. Swift
QuestionableInjury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Tromso Win1.55 (58.8%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.71 (50.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.09 (49.5%)
Both Teams Score1.75 (51.5%)
BTTS No1.97 (48.5%)
Speculative
Draw4.04 (20.9%)
Sandefjord Win5.37 (20.3%)
