Trans Narva vs Kuressaare
Trans Narva
#10 · Meistriliiga
LLLWL
1 - 2
Narva Kalev-Fama staadion, Narva
Referee: K. Kulljastinen
Kuressaare
#6 · Meistriliiga
LWWLL
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.63
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.54 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 63.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Trans Narva will face Kuressaare in the Meistriliiga at Narva Kalev-Fama staadion.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Trans Narva has a 47.9% probability of winning this match. Kuressaare has a 31.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.6%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Trans Narva47.9%1.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.563.5%1.54
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes63.4%1.54
Based on avg. implied odds from 9 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.95
14.5%
2-1
7.37
13.8%
1-0
8.63
11.8%
2-0
8.71
11.6%
2-2
10.79
9.4%
3-1
11.04
9.2%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.70 | Draw 3.83 | Away 3.93 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.54 | Under 2.29 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.16 | Under 4.60 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.37 | Under 1.52 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.54 | No 2.28 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.19 | 12 1.21 | X2 1.98 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.7%
Over 1.5 Goals79.9%
Over 2.5 Goals63.5%
Over 3.5 Goals39.1%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kalju Nomme | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 19 | WLDWW |
| 2 |  FC Levadia Tallinn | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 | WWDWD |
| 3 |  Paide | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 17 | DWWWW |
| 4 |  Laagri | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 | DWLLW |
| 5 |  Flora Tallinn | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 | WLWWL |
| 6 | Kuressaare | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 9 | LWWLL |
| 8 |  Nõmme United | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 7 | LLWLD |
| 9 |  Vaprus | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 | WDLLL |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 6 | LLLWL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonTrans NarvaKuressaare
1.47Goals p.g.1.41
2.12Goals conceded p.g.2.12
18%Clean sheets18%
24%Win rate35%
3.59Avg goals in match3.53
Recent Results
Trans NarvaLAST MATCHES
22 AprFlora Tallinn6–0Trans NarvaMeistriliiga
18 AprTrans Narva1–2KuressaareMeistriliiga
11 AprNõmme United5–1Trans NarvaMeistriliiga
07 AprTrans Narva3–0TammekaMeistriliiga
03 AprKalju Nomme2–1Trans NarvaMeistriliiga
21 MarTrans Narva2–1VaprusMeistriliiga
4Win24%
4Draw24%
9Lost53%
LAST MATCHESKuressaare
21 AprKuressaare0–1VaprusMeistriliiga
18 AprTrans Narva1–2KuressaareMeistriliiga
11 AprKuressaare3–2LaagriMeistriliiga
07 AprFlora Tallinn2–1KuressaareMeistriliiga
03 AprKuressaare0–1PaideMeistriliiga
21 MarKalju Nomme4–0KuressaareMeistriliiga
6Win35%
2Draw12%
9Lost53%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersTrans Narva
No reported absences
Kuressaare
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.54 (63.5%)
Both Teams Score1.54 (63.4%)
Value Bets
Trans Narva Win1.70 (47.9%)
Kuressaare Win3.93 (31.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.29 (36.5%)
BTTS No2.28 (36.6%)
Speculative
Draw3.83 (20.6%)
