Tianjin Teda vs Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
#16 · Super League
LLLLD
1 - 2
TEDA Football Stadium, Tianjin
Shandong Luneng
#6 · Super League
WWLLW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.75
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.73 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 55.9% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Tianjin Teda will face Shandong Luneng in the Super League at TEDA Football Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Tianjin Teda has a 22.8% probability of winning this match. Shandong Luneng has a 55.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Shandong Luneng have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Shandong Luneng sit 6th in the table, 10 places above their opponents
- Shandong Luneng average 2.4 goals per game
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
2 — Shandong Luneng55.2%1.77
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.555%1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes55.9%1.73
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.48
15.5%
0-1
6.91
14.5%
1-2
7.59
13.3%
0-2
8.11
12.4%
0-0
10.02
10.1%
1-0
11.60
8.7%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 4.25 | Draw 3.55 | Away 1.77 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.82 | Under 1.94 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.25 | Under 3.59 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.03 | Under 1.34 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.73 | No 1.98 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.97 | 12 1.25 | X2 1.19 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.2%
Over 1.5 Goals74.2%
Over 2.5 Goals55%
Over 3.5 Goals30.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 17 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 9 | LLWLW |
| 5 |  Shanghai Shenhua | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 6 | Shandong Luneng | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 | WDWLL |
| 14 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 2 | WLLLD |
| 15 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | -2 | LDDWL |
| 16 | Tianjin Teda | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | -5 | LWDLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonTianjin TedaShandong Luneng
1Goals p.g.2.4
1.43Goals conceded p.g.1.4
29%Clean sheets20%
21%Win rate60%
2.43Avg goals in match3.8
Recent Results
Tianjin TedaLAST MATCHES
21 AprTianjin Teda1–2Shandong LunengSuper League
05 AprTianjin Teda2–3Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League
21 MarShenyang Urban3–0Tianjin TedaSuper League
14 MarSichuan Jiuniu1–0Tianjin TedaSuper League
07 MarTianjin Teda0–0Chongqing Tongliang LongSuper League
13 FebKarpaty1–0Tianjin TedaFriendlies Clubs
3Win21%
3Draw21%
8Lost57%
LAST MATCHESShandong Luneng
21 AprTianjin Teda1–2Shandong LunengSuper League
11 AprHenan Jianye0–1Shandong LunengSuper League
04 AprShandong Luneng1–2Dalian ZhixingSuper League
21 MarYunnan Yukun4–0Shandong LunengSuper League
14 MarShandong Luneng2–1Beijing GuoanSuper League
07 MarShandong Luneng3–0Shenyang UrbanSuper League
9Win60%
4Draw27%
2Lost13%
Lineups
ConfirmedTianjin Teda5-4-1Confirmed
11Xie WeijunDEF
29Dun BaDEF
3Zhenghao WangDEF
5Jaume GrauDEF
4Fan YangDEF
7Guilherme SchettineFWD
25Yan BingliangGK
9Alberto QuilesMID
14Jiahui HuangMID
30Qiuming WangMID
8Bruno XadasMID
Substitutes
24Chen ZhexuanDEF
6Xianjun WangDEF
39Chengjun CaiDEF
27Sirong LiDEF
20Shengpan JiFWD
26Haoran ZhangGK
21Qi YuxiGK
22Li YongjiaMID
19Junxian LiuMID
16Shuai LiuMID
33Ninglin NaiboMID
Shandong Luneng4-4-2Confirmed
33Zhunyi GaoDEF
15Songchen ShiDEF
23Pedro ÁlvaroDEF
17Raphaël MerkiesDEF
19ZecaFWD
9CryzanFWD
36Qiwei LiuGK
29Chen PuMID
37Zeshi ChenMID
8Guilherme MadrugaMID
24Liuyu DuanMID
Substitutes
6Tong WangDEF
35Zhengyu HuangDEF
5Zheng ZhengDEF
2Yang RuiqiDEF
3Peng XiaoDEF
11Yang LiuDEF
10Valeri QazaishviliFWD
42Yixiang PengFWD
32Qihang SunGK
1Yu JinyongGK
22Yuanyi LiMID
7Wenneng XieMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersTianjin Teda
No reported absences
Shandong Luneng
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Shandong Luneng Win1.77 (55.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.82 (55%)
Both Teams Score1.73 (55.9%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals1.94 (45%)
BTTS No1.98 (44.1%)
Speculative
Tianjin Teda Win4.25 (22.8%)
Draw3.55 (22%)
