Dalian Zhixing vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
Dalian Zhixing
#3 · Super League
WWWWW
VS
Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium, Dalian
Chongqing Tongliang Long
#2 · Super League
WWWDW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.83
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.79 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 52.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Dalian Zhixing will face Chongqing Tongliang Long in the Super League at Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Dalian Zhixing has a 47.3% probability of winning this match. Chongqing Tongliang Long has a 29% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.6%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Dalian Zhixing are in outstanding form with 5 wins from their last 5 matches
- Chongqing Tongliang Long are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Chongqing Tongliang Long have kept clean sheets in 47% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Dalian Zhixing47.3%1.94
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.552.6%1.79
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes51.8%1.77
Based on avg. implied odds from 8 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.03
16.7%
1-0
6.48
15.5%
2-1
7.73
13%
0-0
8.46
12%
2-0
8.41
12%
0-1
9.86
10.3%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.94 | Draw 3.34 | Away 3.82 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.98 | Under 1.79 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.30 | Under 3.17 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.32 | Under 1.28 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.77 | No 1.91 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.24 | 12 1.29 | X2 1.81 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals88.5%
Over 1.5 Goals70.9%
Over 2.5 Goals47.4%
Over 3.5 Goals27.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 17 | WWWWD |
| 3 | Dalian Zhixing | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 9 | LLWLW |
| 5 |  Shanghai Shenhua | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 | WDWLL |
| 14 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 2 | WLLLD |
| 15 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | -2 | LDDWL |
| 16 |  Tianjin Teda | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | -5 | LWDLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonDalian ZhixingChongqing Tongliang Long
1.33Goals p.g.1.2
1.67Goals conceded p.g.0.93
27%Clean sheets47%
33%Win rate53%
3Avg goals in match2.13
Recent Results
Dalian ZhixingLAST MATCHES
22 AprShenyang Urban0–1Dalian ZhixingSuper League
18 AprDalian Zhixing2–1Henan JianyeSuper League
10 AprDalian Zhixing3–0Hangzhou GreentownSuper League
04 AprShandong Luneng1–2Dalian ZhixingSuper League
20 MarDalian Zhixing1–0SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League
13 MarWuhan Three Towns4–1Dalian ZhixingSuper League
5Win33%
3Draw20%
7Lost47%
LAST MATCHESChongqing Tongliang Long
21 AprSHANGHAI SIPG1–2Chongqing Tongliang LongSuper League
11 AprChongqing Tongliang Long2–1Wuhan Three TownsSuper League
05 AprHangzhou Greentown0–1Chongqing Tongliang LongSuper League
21 MarChongqing Tongliang Long3–3Chengdu Better CitySuper League
14 MarChongqing Tongliang Long1–0Shenyang UrbanSuper League
07 MarTianjin Teda0–0Chongqing Tongliang LongSuper League
8Win53%
4Draw27%
3Lost20%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersDalian Zhixing
No reported absences
Chongqing Tongliang Long
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Dalian Zhixing Win1.94 (47.3%)
Chongqing Tongliang Long Win3.82 (29%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.98 (47.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.79 (52.6%)
Both Teams Score1.77 (51.8%)
BTTS No1.91 (48.2%)
Speculative
Draw3.34 (23.6%)
