Standard Liege vs Antwerp
Standard Liege
#3 · Jupiler Pro League
LWLWD
1 - 2
Maurice Dufrasne, Liege
Referee: Nathan Verboomen, Belgium
Antwerp
#4 · Jupiler Pro League
WWLLL
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.75
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.68 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 56.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Standard Liege will face Antwerp in the Jupiler Pro League at Maurice Dufrasne.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Standard Liege has a 40.1% probability of winning this match. Antwerp has a 34.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 25.2%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Standard Liege40.1%2.63
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.556.7%1.68
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No50.4%1.87
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.59
18%
1-0
7.15
14.1%
0-1
7.22
13.9%
0-0
7.78
12.9%
2-1
9.10
11.1%
1-2
9.36
10.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.63 | Draw 3.09 | Away 2.68 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.15 | Under 1.68 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.36 | Under 2.98 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.86 | Under 1.23 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.84 | No 1.87 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.44 | 12 1.33 | X2 1.45 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals88.2%
Over 1.5 Goals68.7%
Over 2.5 Goals43.3%
Over 3.5 Goals24.2%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Genk | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 29 | DWDWD |
| 1 |  Union St. Gilloise | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 50 | 17 | 33 | 66 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  KVC Westerlo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 29 | WLWWD |
| 2 |  Club Brugge KV | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 63 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  St. Truiden | 30 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 57 | WDLLL |
| 3 | Standard Liege | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 26 | LWLWD |
| 4 | Antwerp | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 24 | WWLLL |
| 14 |  Cercle Brugge | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 31 | WWDWL |
| 15 |  RAAL La Louvière | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 31 | LLLDW |
| 16 |  Dender | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 19 | LLWLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonStandard LiegeAntwerp
1.25Goals p.g.0.88
1.38Goals conceded p.g.1.25
25%Clean sheets31%
38%Win rate31%
2.62Avg goals in match2.12
Recent Results
Standard LiegeLAST MATCHES
21 AprStandard Liege1–2AntwerpJupiler Pro League
18 AprCharleroi1–2Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
11 AprStandard Liege1–2KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
04 AprOH Leuven1–3Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
22 MarStandard Liege0–0KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
15 MarAntwerp1–1Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
6Win38%
4Draw25%
6Lost38%
LAST MATCHESAntwerp
21 AprStandard Liege1–2AntwerpJupiler Pro League
18 AprAntwerp2–0OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
10 AprCharleroi2–1AntwerpJupiler Pro League
03 AprAntwerp1–2GenkJupiler Pro League
22 MarOH Leuven1–0AntwerpJupiler Pro League
15 MarAntwerp1–1Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
5Win31%
2Draw13%
9Lost56%
Lineups
ConfirmedStandard Liege3-4-2-1Confirmed
24Josué HomawooDEF
29Daan DierckxDEF
25Ibe HautekietDEF
11Adnane AbidFWD
59Timothee NkadaFWD
26Bernard NgueneFWD
1Matthieu EpoloGK
3Gustav MortensenMID
18Henry LawrenceMID
94Casper NielsenMID
20Ibrahim KaramokoMID
Substitutes
4David BatesDEF
8Nayel MehssatouDEF
17Rafiki SaïdFWD
19René MitongoFWD
21Lucas PirardGK
7Tobias MohrMID
39Noa SyMID
33Charli SpodenMID
53Steeven AssengueMID
Antwerp3-4-1-2Confirmed
5Daam FoulonDEF
33Zeno Van Den BoschDEF
4Yuto TsunashimaDEF
30Christopher ScottFWD
18Vincent JanssenFWD
7Gyrano KerkFWD
41Taishi Brandon NozawaGK
78Xander DierckxMID
22Farouck AdekamiMID
8Dennis PraetMID
14Anthony ValenciaMID
Substitutes
17Semm RendersDEF
20Rein Van HeldenDEF
23Glenn BijlDEF
56Eran TuypensDEF
25Boubakar KouyatéDEF
9Marwan AlsahafiFWD
24Thibo SomersFWD
15Yannick ThoelenGK
43Youssef HamdaouiMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersStandard Liege
No reported absences
Antwerp
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.68 (56.7%)
Value Bets
Standard Liege Win2.63 (40.1%)
Draw3.09 (25.2%)
Antwerp Win2.68 (34.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.15 (43.3%)
Both Teams Score1.84 (49.6%)
BTTS No1.87 (50.4%)
