Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
#5 · Premier League
WDWWW
1 - 2
Lukoil Arena, Moscow
Referee: A. Chistyakov
FC Krasnodar
#2 · Premier League
DDWWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.63
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.63 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 58.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Spartak Moscow will face FC Krasnodar in the Premier League at Lukoil Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Spartak Moscow has a 43.2% probability of winning this match. FC Krasnodar has a 34.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.7%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Spartak Moscow are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- FC Krasnodar have won 3 of their last 5 games
- FC Krasnodar are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- FC Krasnodar average 2.2 goals per game
- FC Krasnodar have kept clean sheets in 41% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Spartak Moscow43.2%2.38
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.555.5%1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes58.6%1.63
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 4 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.21
16.1%
1-0
8.40
11.9%
2-1
8.59
11.6%
0-1
9.55
10.5%
1-2
9.75
10.3%
0-0
10.45
9.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.38 | Draw 3.54 | Away 2.91 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.84 | Under 2.05 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.25 | Under 3.78 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.96 | Under 1.37 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.63 | No 2.16 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.40 | 12 1.30 | X2 1.62 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.8%
Over 1.5 Goals75.2%
Over 2.5 Goals55.5%
Over 3.5 Goals31.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zenit | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 45 | 17 | 28 | 56 | DWDWW |
| 2 | FC Krasnodar | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 54 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Lokomotiv | 26 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 49 | DWDLW |
| 4 |  Baltika | 25 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 15 | 21 | 45 | DDDWW |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 45 | WDWWL |
| 6 |  CSKA Moscow | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 44 | DDLWW |
| 14 |  Krylia Sovetov | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 23 | LDDLD |
| 15 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 22 | LDDLL |
| 16 |  FC Sochi | 26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 18 | WWWLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonSpartak MoscowFC Krasnodar
1.81Goals p.g.2.18
1.25Goals conceded p.g.0.94
31%Clean sheets41%
62%Win rate59%
3.06Avg goals in match3.12
Recent Results
Spartak MoscowLAST MATCHES
19 AprSpartak Moscow3–1AkhmatPremier League
08 AprZenit0–0Spartak MoscowCup
05 AprSpartak Moscow2–1LokomotivPremier League
22 MarFC Orenburg0–2Spartak MoscowPremier League
18 MarSpartak Moscow1–0DynamoCup
14 MarZenit2–0Spartak MoscowPremier League
10Win63%
3Draw19%
3Lost19%
LAST MATCHESFC Krasnodar
19 AprFC Krasnodar2–2BaltikaPremier League
08 AprDynamo0–0FC KrasnodarCup
04 AprAkhmat0–1FC KrasnodarPremier League
28 MarFC Krasnodar4–0AmkalFriendlies Clubs
21 MarFC Krasnodar5–0Nizhny NovgorodPremier League
17 MarFC Krasnodar4–0CSKA MoscowCup
10Win59%
3Draw18%
4Lost24%
Lineups
ConfirmedSpartak Moscow4-2-3-1Confirmed
68Ruslan LitvinovDEF
4Alexander DjikuDEF
47Roman ZobninDEF
97Daniil DenisovDEF
9Manfred UgaldeFWD
98Aleksandr MaksimenkoGK
18Nail UmyarovMID
35Christopher MartinsMID
10Marquinhos CostaMID
5Esequiel BarcoMID
83Gedson FernandesMID
Substitutes
2Oleg ReabciukDEF
14Ilya SamoshnikovDEF
11Levi GarcíaFWD
91Anton ZabolotnyiFWD
1Ilya PomazunGK
56Alexander DovbnyaGK
27Igor DmitrievMID
17Vladislav SausMID
24Nikita MassalygaMID
28Daniil ZorinMID
7Pablo SolariMID
FC Krasnodar4-2-3-1Confirmed
5JubalDEF
4Diego CostaDEF
15Lucas OlazaDEF
20Giovanni GonzálezDEF
9Jhon CordobaFWD
1Stanislav AgkatsevGK
6Kevin LeniniMID
11João BatxiMID
10Eduard SpertsyanMID
88Nikita KrivtsovMID
53Aleksandr ChernikovMID
Substitutes
17Valentin PaltsevDEF
59Artem KhmarinDEF
30Stepan SadchikovDEF
3Vítor TormenaDEF
23Juan Manuel BoselliFWD
90Moses David CobnanFWD
16Aleksandr KoryakinGK
Unavailable Players
8 playersSpartak Moscow3
C. Wooh
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
S. Babic
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
V. Saus
QuestionableInjury
FC Krasnodar5
A. Koksharov
Missing FixtureInjury
Diego Costa
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
S. Petrov
Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury
V. Stezhko
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Victor Sa
Missing FixtureInactive
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.84 (55.5%)
Both Teams Score1.63 (58.6%)
Value Bets
Spartak Moscow Win2.38 (43.2%)
FC Krasnodar Win2.91 (34.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.05 (44.5%)
BTTS No2.16 (41.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.54 (22.7%)
