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Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28
Krylia Sovetov
#14 · Premier League
LDLLD
VS
Samara Arena, Samara
Spartak Moscow
#5 · Premier League
WDWWW
23.4%
Home Win
20.4%
Draw
56.3%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Spartak Moscow to Win
Solid away form and superior underlying numbers over Krylia Sovetov make Spartak Moscow the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.66
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.61 for Spartak Moscow to Win. Our model calculates a 56.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Krylia Sovetov will face Spartak Moscow in the Premier League at Samara Arena.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Krylia Sovetov has a 23.4% probability of winning this match. Spartak Moscow has a 56.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.4%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Spartak Moscow are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
  • Spartak Moscow sit 5th in the table, 9 places above their opponents

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Moderate confidence
Match Result
2 — Spartak Moscow56.3%1.61
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.555.3%1.81
Both Teams to Score
Yes55.4%1.78
Based on avg. implied odds from 4 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
0-1
6.64
15.1%
1-1
7.18
13.9%
0-2
7.28
13.7%
1-2
7.41
13.5%
0-3
11.68
8.6%
1-3
11.94
8.4%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 5.20Draw 4.13Away 1.61
O/U 2.5Over 1.81Under 2.06
O/U 1.5Over 1.23Under 3.87
O/U 3.5Over 2.92Under 1.37
BTTSYes 1.78No 1.94
Double Chance1X 2.3312 1.24X2 1.15

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
91.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
75.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
55.3%
Over 3.5 Goals
31.9%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Zenit
26168245172856
DWDWW
2
FC Krasnodar
25166351193254
DDWWW
3
Lokomotiv
261310351331849
DWDLW
4
Baltika
251112236152145
DDDWW
5
Spartak Moscow
2513664133845
WDWWL
6
CSKA Moscow
26135838281044
DDLWW
14
Krylia Sovetov
2658132747-2023
LDDLD
15
Nizhny Novgorod
2664162242-2022
LDDLL
16
FC Sochi
2653182454-3018
WWWLL

Key Statistics

2025 Season
Krylia SovetovSpartak Moscow
1.41Goals p.g.1.81
1.59Goals conceded p.g.1.25
24%Clean sheets31%
35%Win rate62%
3Avg goals in match3.06

Recent Results

Krylia SovetovLAST MATCHES
21 AprFC Sochi2–1Krylia SovetovPremier League
18 AprKrylia Sovetov1–1CSKA MoscowPremier League
07 AprKrylia Sovetov2–5CSKA MoscowCup
04 AprZenit2–1Krylia SovetovPremier League
22 MarKrylia Sovetov0–0RubinPremier League
19 MarKrylia Sovetov2–2LokomotivCup
6Win35%
3Draw18%
7Lost41%
LAST MATCHESSpartak Moscow
19 AprSpartak Moscow3–1AkhmatPremier League
08 AprZenit0–0Spartak MoscowCup
05 AprSpartak Moscow2–1LokomotivPremier League
22 MarFC Orenburg0–2Spartak MoscowPremier League
18 MarSpartak Moscow1–0DynamoCup
14 MarZenit2–0Spartak MoscowPremier League
10Win63%
3Draw19%
3Lost19%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Krylia Sovetov

No reported absences

Spartak Moscow

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Spartak Moscow Win1.61 (56.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.81 (55.3%)
Both Teams Score1.78 (55.4%)
●Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.06 (44.7%)
BTTS No1.94 (44.6%)
●Speculative
Krylia Sovetov Win5.20 (23.4%)
Draw4.13 (20.4%)
Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow Predictions, Stats, H2H - 1 May 2026 | SureTipsPro