Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shenyang Urban
Sichuan Jiuniu
#8 · Super League
LLWLW
1 - 0
Shenyang Urban
#7 · Super League
DLDWW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.77
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.73 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 53.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Sichuan Jiuniu will face Shenyang Urban in the Super League.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Sichuan Jiuniu has a 38.1% probability of winning this match. Shenyang Urban has a 37.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24.2%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Shenyang Urban have kept clean sheets in 44% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Sichuan Jiuniu38.1%2.61
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.553.4%1.73
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes51.8%1.79
Based on avg. implied odds from 8 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.93
16.9%
0-1
7.73
13%
1-0
7.75
13%
0-0
8.30
12.2%
2-1
9.42
10.7%
1-2
9.44
10.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.61 | Draw 3.21 | Away 2.61 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.06 | Under 1.73 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.33 | Under 3.02 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.57 | Under 1.24 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.79 | No 1.92 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.47 | 12 1.32 | X2 1.46 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals88.4%
Over 1.5 Goals69.5%
Over 2.5 Goals46.6%
Over 3.5 Goals25.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 17 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 9 | LLWLW |
| 5 |  Shanghai Shenhua | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 | WDWLL |
| 7 | Shenyang Urban | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 | LLDWW |
| 8 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 6 | LLLWL |
| 14 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 2 | WLLLD |
| 15 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | -2 | LDDWL |
| 16 |  Tianjin Teda | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | -5 | LWDLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonSichuan JiuniuShenyang Urban
1.27Goals p.g.1.44
1.53Goals conceded p.g.0.94
13%Clean sheets44%
33%Win rate44%
2.8Avg goals in match2.38
Recent Results
Sichuan JiuniuLAST MATCHES
21 AprSichuan Jiuniu0–1Beijing GuoanSuper League
12 AprSichuan Jiuniu3–4Yunnan YukunSuper League
05 AprSichuan Jiuniu5–2Wuhan Three TownsSuper League
21 MarQingdao Youth Island1–0Sichuan JiuniuSuper League
14 MarSichuan Jiuniu1–0Tianjin TedaSuper League
06 MarChengdu Better City5–1Sichuan JiuniuSuper League
5Win33%
1Draw7%
9Lost60%
LAST MATCHESShenyang Urban
22 AprShenyang Urban0–0Dalian ZhixingSuper League
18 AprShanghai Shenhua3–1Shenyang UrbanSuper League
11 AprQingdao Youth Island1–1Shenyang UrbanSuper League
04 AprShenyang Urban2–1Beijing GuoanSuper League
21 MarShenyang Urban3–0Tianjin TedaSuper League
14 MarChongqing Tongliang Long1–0Shenyang UrbanSuper League
7Win44%
5Draw31%
4Lost25%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSichuan Jiuniu
No reported absences
Shenyang Urban
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Sichuan Jiuniu Win2.61 (38.1%)
Shenyang Urban Win2.61 (37.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.06 (46.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.73 (53.4%)
Both Teams Score1.79 (51.8%)
BTTS No1.92 (48.2%)
Speculative
Draw3.21 (24.2%)
