Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shandong Luneng

Sichuan Jiuniu
#7 · Super League
LWLLL
VS

Shandong Luneng
#5 · Super League
WDLWD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.55 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 60.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Sichuan Jiuniu will face Shandong Luneng in the Super League.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Sichuan Jiuniu has a 31% probability of winning this match. Shandong Luneng has a 47.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.5%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Shandong Luneng average 2.3 goals per game
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Shandong Luneng47.5%1.90
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.559.8%1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes60.7%1.55
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 7 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.13
14.1%
1-2
7.88
12.7%
0-1
9.12
11%
0-2
10.12
9.9%
2-1
11.25
8.9%
2-2
11.33
8.9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.60 | Draw 3.69 | Away 1.90 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.61 | Under 2.26 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.17 | Under 4.45 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.46 | Under 1.48 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.55 | No 2.29 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.85 | 12 1.25 | X2 1.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.6%
Over 1.5 Goals79.2%
Over 2.5 Goals59.8%
Over 3.5 Goals37.5%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 28 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 19 | DLDWW | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 | WLWWW | |
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 13 | DWLLW | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 11 | WDLWD | |
| 6 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 10 | LLWWW | |
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 9 | LWLLL | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 4 | WWLDD | |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 3 | DLWLL | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 0 | DDWLW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonSichuan JiuniuShandong Luneng
1.17Goals p.g.2.26
1.5Goals conceded p.g.1.47
17%Clean sheets16%
33%Win rate53%
2.67Avg goals in match3.74
Recent Results
Sichuan JiuniuLAST MATCHES
02 MayHangzhou Greentown2–1Sichuan JiuniuSuper League
26 AprSichuan Jiuniu1–0Shenyang UrbanSuper League
21 AprSichuan Jiuniu0–1Beijing GuoanSuper League
17 AprChongqing Tongliang Long2–0Sichuan JiuniuSuper League
12 AprSichuan Jiuniu3–4Yunnan YukunSuper League
05 AprSichuan Jiuniu5–2Wuhan Three TownsSuper League
6Win33%
1Draw6%
11Lost61%
LAST MATCHESShandong Luneng
05 MayShandong Luneng4–1Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League
01 MayShandong Luneng1–1Qingdao Youth IslandSuper League
26 AprQingdao Jonoon4–1Shandong LunengSuper League
21 AprTianjin Teda1–2Shandong LunengSuper League
17 AprShandong Luneng1–1SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League
11 AprHenan Jianye0–1Shandong LunengSuper League
10Win53%
6Draw32%
3Lost16%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Sichuan Jiuniu
No reported absences
Shandong Luneng
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.61 (59.8%)
Both Teams Score1.55 (60.7%)
Value Bets
Sichuan Jiuniu Win3.60 (31%)
Shandong Luneng Win1.90 (47.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.26 (40.2%)
BTTS No2.29 (39.3%)
Speculative
Draw3.69 (21.5%)








