Sichuan Jiuniu vs Beijing Guoan
Sichuan Jiuniu
#8 · Super League
LLWLW
0 - 1
Beijing Guoan
#10 · Super League
WLLDL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.66 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 57.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Sichuan Jiuniu will face Beijing Guoan in the Super League.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Sichuan Jiuniu has a 33% probability of winning this match. Beijing Guoan has a 44.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.4%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Beijing Guoan average 2.1 goals per game
- Beijing Guoan have kept clean sheets in 40% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Beijing Guoan44.6%1.95
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.555.1%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes57.6%1.66
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.32
15.9%
0-1
7.67
13.1%
1-2
7.78
12.9%
0-2
9.35
10.7%
0-0
10.68
9.6%
1-0
10.85
9.3%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.54 | Draw 3.49 | Away 1.95 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.80 | Under 1.97 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.23 | Under 3.74 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.92 | Under 1.36 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.66 | No 2.10 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.81 | 12 1.25 | X2 1.26 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.8%
Over 1.5 Goals75.2%
Over 2.5 Goals55.1%
Over 3.5 Goals31.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 17 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 9 | LLWLW |
| 5 |  Shanghai Shenhua | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 | WDWLL |
| 8 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 6 | LLLWL |
| 10 | Beijing Guoan | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3 | WDLLD |
| 14 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 2 | WLLLD |
| 15 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | -2 | LDDWL |
| 16 |  Tianjin Teda | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | -5 | LWDLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonSichuan JiuniuBeijing Guoan
1.27Goals p.g.2.07
1.53Goals conceded p.g.1.27
13%Clean sheets40%
33%Win rate47%
2.8Avg goals in match3.33
Recent Results
Sichuan JiuniuLAST MATCHES
21 AprSichuan Jiuniu0–1Beijing GuoanSuper League
12 AprSichuan Jiuniu3–4Yunnan YukunSuper League
05 AprSichuan Jiuniu5–2Wuhan Three TownsSuper League
21 MarQingdao Youth Island1–0Sichuan JiuniuSuper League
14 MarSichuan Jiuniu1–0Tianjin TedaSuper League
06 MarChengdu Better City5–1Sichuan JiuniuSuper League
5Win33%
1Draw7%
9Lost60%
LAST MATCHESBeijing Guoan
21 AprSichuan Jiuniu0–1Beijing GuoanSuper League
12 AprBeijing Guoan1–2Chengdu Better CitySuper League
04 AprShenyang Urban2–1Beijing GuoanSuper League
21 MarBeijing Guoan1–1Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League
14 MarShandong Luneng2–1Beijing GuoanSuper League
08 MarWuhan Three Towns0–2Beijing GuoanSuper League
7Win47%
2Draw13%
6Lost40%
Lineups
ConfirmedSichuan Jiuniu3-4-3Confirmed
23Yiming YangDEF
46Huanming ShenDEF
5Ruibao HuDEF
7Wesley MoraesFWD
31Deabeas Owusu-SekyereFWD
10Dai Wai TsunFWD
13Peng PengGK
4Zhipeng JiangMID
36Eden KarzevMID
6Junsheng YaoMID
20Zhijian XuanMID
Substitutes
54Yao JunyiDEF
2Tian YifanDEF
34Shahsat HujahmatFWD
35Wei MinzheGK
1Jiabao JiGK
21Song NanMID
17Li NingMID
8Tim ChowMID
14Li LongMID
56Yuheng WangMID
12Xiaobing ZhangMID
Beijing Guoan4-1-3-2Confirmed
4Lei LiDEF
26Yang BaiDEF
5Guilherme RamosDEF
27Gang WangDEF
9Yuning ZhangFWD
8Aboubacar KonteFWD
34Sen HouGK
23DawhanMID
37Yongjing CaoMID
7SerginhoMID
11Liangming LinMID
Substitutes
35Jiang WenhaoDEF
30Shuangjie FanDEF
16Boxuan FengDEF
21Tze-Nam YueDEF
47Deng JiefuDEF
33Nureli AbbasGK
39Zhang JianzhiGK
18Wang YuMID
10Zhang XizheMID
38Jiaao WeiMID
36Feifan JiaMID
6Zhongguo ChiMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersSichuan Jiuniu
No reported absences
Beijing Guoan
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.80 (55.1%)
Both Teams Score1.66 (57.6%)
Value Bets
Sichuan Jiuniu Win3.54 (33%)
Beijing Guoan Win1.95 (44.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.97 (44.9%)
BTTS No2.10 (42.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.49 (22.4%)
