Sheffield Wednesday vs Charlton
Sheffield Wednesday
#24 · Championship
DDLLL
1 - 1
Hillsborough, Sheffield
Referee: T. Parsons
Charlton
#21 · Championship
DDLLD
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.80
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.75 (implied 57.2%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 57.7% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.73. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Sheffield Wednesday will face Charlton in the Championship at Hillsborough.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Sheffield Wednesday has a 25% probability of winning this match. Charlton has a 43.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 31.2%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Both teams average a combined 1.3 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Charlton43.8%1.76
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.557.7%1.75
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No54.4%1.81
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes0-1
5.89
17%
1-1
6.41
15.6%
0-2
7.50
13.4%
1-2
7.91
12.7%
0-0
8.55
11.8%
1-0
10.83
9.3%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 4.65 | Draw 3.50 | Away 1.76 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.05 | Under 1.75 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.33 | Under 3.12 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.59 | Under 1.26 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.91 | No 1.81 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 2.01 | 12 1.27 | X2 1.17 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89%
Over 1.5 Goals70%
Over 2.5 Goals42.3%
Over 3.5 Goals26%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry | 44 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 90 | 44 | 46 | 89 | WDDDW |
| 2 |  Millwall | 45 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 61 | 48 | 13 | 80 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Ipswich | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 79 | WDLWW |
| 4 |  Southampton | 44 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 77 | 53 | 24 | 76 | DWWWW |
| 5 |  Middlesbrough | 44 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 76 | WDLDL |
| 6 |  Wrexham | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 66 | 60 | 6 | 70 | WWLLD |
| 21 | Charlton | 44 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 50 | LDLDL |
| 22 |  Oxford United | 44 | 10 | 14 | 20 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 | LLWDD |
| 23 |  Leicester | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 43 | DLLDD |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday | 44 | 1 | 12 | 31 | 26 | 84 | -58 | -3 | LDDDL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonSheffield WednesdayCharlton
0.53Goals p.g.0.8
1.93Goals conceded p.g.1.07
0%Clean sheets33%
0%Win rate27%
2.47Avg goals in match1.87
Recent Results
Sheffield WednesdayLAST MATCHES
18 AprSheffield Wednesday1–1CharltonChampionship
06 AprSheffield Wednesday1–1LeicesterChampionship
03 AprStoke City2–0Sheffield WednesdayChampionship
21 MarHull City3–1Sheffield WednesdayChampionship
14 MarSheffield Wednesday0–2IpswichChampionship
10 MarSheffield Wednesday1–1WatfordChampionship
0Win0%
3Draw20%
12Lost80%
LAST MATCHESCharlton
18 AprSheffield Wednesday1–1CharltonChampionship
06 AprWatford1–1CharltonChampionship
03 AprCharlton1–2Bristol CityChampionship
21 MarCharlton0–1NorwichChampionship
14 MarOxford United1–1CharltonChampionship
11 MarMiddlesbrough0–1CharltonChampionship
4Win27%
6Draw40%
5Lost33%
Lineups
ConfirmedSheffield Wednesday3-4-3Confirmed
2Liam PalmerDEF
3Max LoweDEF
22Gabriel OtegbayoDEF
12Jerry YatesFWD
24Jaden HeskeyFWD
9Jamal LoweFWD
1Pierce CharlesGK
19Olaf KobackiMID
4Sean FusireMID
45Tayo AdaramolaMID
14Nathaniel ChalobahMID
Substitutes
6Dominic IorfaDEF
28Cole McGheeDEF
40Devlan MosesFWD
31William GraingerFWD
17Charlie McNeillFWD
13Murphy CooperGK
37Jarvis ThorntonMID
18Marvelous NakambaMID
43Zain Silcott-DuberryMID
Charlton3-4-3Confirmed
5Lloyd JonesDEF
17Amari'i BellDEF
15Conor CoadyDEF
99Lyndon DykesFWD
24Matt GoddenFWD
32Reece BurkeFWD
25William MannionGK
44Harry ClarkeMID
19Luke ChambersMID
14Sonny CareyMID
10Greg DochertyMID
Substitutes
28Collins SichenjeDEF
3Macaulay GillespheyDEF
11Miles LeaburnFWD
23Charlie KelmanFWD
7Tyreece CampbellFWD
77Jayden FevrierFWD
1Thomas KaminskiGK
26Joe Rankin-CostelloMID
41Harvey KnibbsMID
Unavailable Players
7 playersSheffield Wednesday6
D. Bernard
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
G. Brown
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury
Guilherme Siqueira
Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury
I. Ugbo
Missing FixtureInactive
L. Cooper
Missing FixtureGroin Injury
S. Ingelsson
Missing FixtureInactive
Charlton1
J. Edwards
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.75 (57.7%)
Value Bets
Sheffield Wednesday Win4.65 (25%)
Draw3.50 (31.2%)
Charlton Win1.76 (43.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.05 (42.3%)
Both Teams Score1.91 (45.6%)
BTTS No1.81 (54.4%)
