Sheffield Utd vs Blackburn
Sheffield Utd
#14 · Championship
WLDLD
1 - 3
Bramall Lane, Sheffield
Referee: F. Hallam
Blackburn
#19 · Championship
DWDWL
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
2.00
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.93 (implied 51.8%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 53.7% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.86. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Sheffield Utd will face Blackburn in the Championship at Bramall Lane.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Sheffield Utd has a 51.2% probability of winning this match. Blackburn has a 25.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.5%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Sheffield Utd51.2%1.93
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.553.7%1.93
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes50.8%1.71
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.36
15.8%
1-0
7.25
13.8%
2-1
7.91
12.7%
2-0
9.03
11.1%
0-0
10.31
9.8%
0-1
10.81
9.3%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.93 | Draw 3.48 | Away 3.87 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.85 | Under 1.93 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.26 | Under 3.60 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.08 | Under 1.34 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.71 | No 2.04 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.24 | 12 1.27 | X2 1.85 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.7%
Over 1.5 Goals74%
Over 2.5 Goals46.3%
Over 3.5 Goals30.4%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry | 44 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 90 | 44 | 46 | 89 | WDDDW |
| 2 |  Millwall | 45 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 61 | 48 | 13 | 80 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Ipswich | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 79 | WDLWW |
| 4 |  Southampton | 44 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 77 | 53 | 24 | 76 | DWWWW |
| 5 |  Middlesbrough | 44 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 76 | WDLDL |
| 6 |  Wrexham | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 66 | 60 | 6 | 70 | WWLLD |
| 14 | Sheffield Utd | 44 | 17 | 6 | 21 | 62 | 62 | 0 | 57 | LWWLD |
| 19 | Blackburn | 45 | 13 | 13 | 19 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 52 | WDLDD |
| 22 |  Oxford United | 44 | 10 | 14 | 20 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 | LLWDD |
| 23 |  Leicester | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 43 | DLLDD |
| 24 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 44 | 1 | 12 | 31 | 26 | 84 | -58 | -3 | LDDDL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonSheffield UtdBlackburn
1.53Goals p.g.0.86
1.2Goals conceded p.g.0.93
20%Clean sheets36%
40%Win rate36%
2.73Avg goals in match1.79
Recent Results
Sheffield UtdLAST MATCHES
18 AprWatford0–2Sheffield UtdChampionship
06 AprBristol City1–0Sheffield UtdChampionship
03 AprSheffield Utd3–3SwanseaChampionship
21 MarSheffield Utd1–2WrexhamChampionship
14 MarBirmingham1–1Sheffield UtdChampionship
11 MarNorwich2–1Sheffield UtdChampionship
6Win40%
4Draw27%
5Lost33%
LAST MATCHESBlackburn
06 AprBlackburn0–0West BromChampionship
03 AprBirmingham0–1BlackburnChampionship
21 MarBlackburn0–0MiddlesbroughChampionship
14 MarMillwall1–2BlackburnChampionship
11 MarOxford United1–0BlackburnChampionship
07 MarBlackburn1–1PortsmouthChampionship
5Win36%
4Draw29%
5Lost36%
Lineups
ConfirmedSheffield Utd4-2-3-1Confirmed
12Ki-Jana HoeverDEF
14Harrison BurrowsDEF
25Mark McGuinnessDEF
2Japhet TangangaDEF
45Patrick BamfordFWD
17Adam DaviesGK
44Jairo RiedewaldMID
24Tahith ChongMID
8Gustavo HamerMID
7Thomas CannonMID
48Joe RothwellMID
Substitutes
6Tyler BindonDEF
38Femi SerikiDEF
5Leo Fuhr HjeldeDEF
9Danny IngsFWD
31Luke FaxonGK
11Andre BrooksMID
10Callum O'HareMID
4Oliver ArblasterMID
42Sydie PeckMID
Blackburn3-5-2Confirmed
15Sean McLoughlinDEF
20Eiran CashinDEF
38Tom AtchesonDEF
25Ryoya MorishitaFWD
23Yuki OhashiFWD
22Balázs TóthGK
28Adam ForshawMID
31Kristi MontgomeryMID
2Ryan AlebiosuMID
4Yuri RibeiroMID
5Taylor Gardner-HickmanMID
Substitutes
26Connor O'RiordanDEF
3Harry PickeringDEF
16Scott WhartonDEF
29Mathias JørgensenFWD
21Oladapo AfolayanFWD
1Aynsley PearsGK
24Moussa BaradjiMID
10Todd CantwellMID
19Ryan HedgesMID
Unavailable Players
15 playersSheffield Utd7
J. Rothwell
QuestionableInjury
J. Shackleton
Missing FixtureFoot Injury
K. Phillips
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
M. Cooper
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
S. McCallum
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
S. Sachdev
Missing FixtureBroken leg
T. Campbell
Missing FixtureInactive
Blackburn8
A. Gudjohnsen
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
A. Henriksson
Missing FixtureInactive
A. Kargbo
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury
H. Carter
Missing FixtureInjury
J. Garrett
Missing FixtureLacking Match Fitness
L. Miller
Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury
M. Litherland
Missing FixtureInactive
S. Tronstad
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Sheffield Utd Win1.93 (51.2%)
Blackburn Win3.87 (25.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.85 (46.3%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.93 (53.7%)
Both Teams Score1.71 (50.8%)
BTTS No2.04 (49.2%)
Speculative
Draw3.48 (23.5%)
