SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
SHANGHAI SIPG
#12 · Super League
LLWLW
1 - 2
Pudong Football Stadium, Shanghai
Chongqing Tongliang Long
#2 · Super League
WWWDW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.88
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.77 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 55.9% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , SHANGHAI SIPG will face Chongqing Tongliang Long in the Super League at Pudong Football Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that SHANGHAI SIPG has a 40.8% probability of winning this match. Chongqing Tongliang Long has a 35.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.5%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Chongqing Tongliang Long are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Chongqing Tongliang Long sit 2nd in the table, 10 places above their opponents
- Chongqing Tongliang Long have kept clean sheets in 47% of their matches
- Both teams average a combined 1.9 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — SHANGHAI SIPG40.8%1.96
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.555.9%1.77
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No51.7%1.92
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.20
16.2%
1-0
6.67
15%
2-1
7.82
12.9%
2-0
8.69
11.5%
0-0
9.27
11%
0-1
9.69
10.4%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.96 | Draw 3.37 | Away 3.67 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.99 | Under 1.77 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.30 | Under 3.25 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.42 | Under 1.27 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.79 | No 1.92 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.24 | 12 1.27 | X2 1.80 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89.4%
Over 1.5 Goals71.5%
Over 2.5 Goals44.1%
Over 3.5 Goals27.2%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 17 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 9 | LLWLW |
| 5 |  Shanghai Shenhua | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 | WDWLL |
| 12 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 2 | LDLWL |
| 14 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 2 | WLLLD |
| 15 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | -2 | LDDWL |
| 16 |  Tianjin Teda | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | -5 | LWDLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonSHANGHAI SIPGChongqing Tongliang Long
0.73Goals p.g.1.2
1.67Goals conceded p.g.0.93
27%Clean sheets47%
20%Win rate53%
2.4Avg goals in match2.13
Recent Results
SHANGHAI SIPGLAST MATCHES
21 AprSHANGHAI SIPG1–2Chongqing Tongliang LongSuper League
11 AprShanghai Shenhua1–0SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League
04 AprSHANGHAI SIPG2–1Yunnan YukunSuper League
20 MarDalian Zhixing1–0SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League
15 MarSHANGHAI SIPG4–1Qingdao Youth IslandSuper League
07 MarSHANGHAI SIPG1–2Henan JianyeSuper League
3Win20%
3Draw20%
9Lost60%
LAST MATCHESChongqing Tongliang Long
21 AprSHANGHAI SIPG1–2Chongqing Tongliang LongSuper League
11 AprChongqing Tongliang Long2–1Wuhan Three TownsSuper League
05 AprHangzhou Greentown0–1Chongqing Tongliang LongSuper League
21 MarChongqing Tongliang Long3–3Chengdu Better CitySuper League
14 MarChongqing Tongliang Long1–0Shenyang UrbanSuper League
07 MarTianjin Teda0–0Chongqing Tongliang LongSuper League
8Win53%
4Draw27%
3Lost20%
Lineups
ConfirmedSHANGHAI SIPG4-2-3-1Confirmed
23Huan FuDEF
32Shuai LiDEF
13Zhen WeiDEF
40Yusup UmidjanDEF
14Matthew OrrFWD
1Junling YanGK
33Liu ZhurunMID
10Mateus VitalMID
38Lu YongtaoMID
22Xi YangMID
4Shenchao WangMID
Substitutes
56Jiang YufeiDEF
3Guangtai JiangDEF
54Dongcheng WangDEF
28Yue XinDEF
31Shimeng BaoDEF
49Li XinxiangFWD
7Wu LeiFWD
17Prince AmpemFWD
55Yuhang ZhangGK
53Li ZhiliangGK
12Wei ChenGK
26Ruofan LiuMID
Chongqing Tongliang Long5-4-1Confirmed
33LucãoDEF
26Xiaoqiang HeDEF
3Zhang YingkaiDEF
32Michael NgadeuDEF
38Qilong RuanDEF
7Yuwang XiangFWD
1Haoyang YaoGK
10Ibrahim AmadouMID
8Zhenquan LiMID
9Alexandru CîmpanuMID
15Chen ChunxinMID
Substitutes
37Wei SuoweiDEF
24Mingshi LiuDEF
4Ruijie YueDEF
6Pengxiang JinDEF
19Du YuezhengFWD
17Yu-Hei NgFWD
30Yutao BaiFWD
22Ma YujunFWD
31Wu ZitongGK
27Yongqiang WuMID
21Liu JialeMID
16Zhixiong ZhangMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersSHANGHAI SIPG
No reported absences
Chongqing Tongliang Long
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.77 (55.9%)
Value Bets
SHANGHAI SIPG Win1.96 (40.8%)
Chongqing Tongliang Long Win3.67 (35.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.99 (44.1%)
Both Teams Score1.79 (48.3%)
BTTS No1.92 (51.7%)
Speculative
Draw3.37 (23.5%)
