Shanghai Shenhua vs Shenyang Urban
Shanghai Shenhua
#5 · Super League
DWWWD
3 - 1
Shanghai Stadium, Shanghai
Referee: Ren Tong, China
Shenyang Urban
#7 · Super League
DLDWW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.61
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.52 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 55.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Shanghai Shenhua will face Shenyang Urban in the Super League at Shanghai Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Shanghai Shenhua has a 59.5% probability of winning this match. Shenyang Urban has a 21.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 19.2%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Shanghai Shenhua have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Shanghai Shenhua are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Shenyang Urban have kept clean sheets in 44% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Shanghai Shenhua59.5%1.42
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.555%1.52
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes53.6%1.66
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-1
7.54
13.3%
2-0
7.69
13.1%
1-0
8.34
12.1%
1-1
8.47
11.9%
3-0
9.95
10.2%
3-1
10.10
10%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.42 | Draw 4.54 | Away 6.14 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.52 | Under 2.40 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.15 | Under 4.93 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.31 | Under 1.57 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.66 | No 2.09 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.10 | 12 1.16 | X2 2.63 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.3%
Over 1.5 Goals81%
Over 2.5 Goals55%
Over 3.5 Goals40.6%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 17 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 9 | LLWLW |
| 5 | Shanghai Shenhua | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 | WDWLL |
| 7 | Shenyang Urban | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 | LLDWW |
| 14 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 2 | WLLLD |
| 15 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | -2 | LDDWL |
| 16 |  Tianjin Teda | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | -5 | LWDLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonShanghai ShenhuaShenyang Urban
1.31Goals p.g.1.44
1.31Goals conceded p.g.0.94
19%Clean sheets44%
31%Win rate44%
2.62Avg goals in match2.38
Recent Results
Shanghai ShenhuaLAST MATCHES
22 AprShanghai Shenhua0–0Qingdao JonoonSuper League
18 AprShanghai Shenhua3–1Shenyang UrbanSuper League
11 AprShanghai Shenhua1–0SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League
05 AprTianjin Teda2–3Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League
21 MarBeijing Guoan1–1Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League
14 MarHangzhou Greentown1–1Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League
5Win31%
6Draw38%
5Lost31%
LAST MATCHESShenyang Urban
22 AprShenyang Urban0–0Dalian ZhixingSuper League
18 AprShanghai Shenhua3–1Shenyang UrbanSuper League
11 AprQingdao Youth Island1–1Shenyang UrbanSuper League
04 AprShenyang Urban2–1Beijing GuoanSuper League
21 MarShenyang Urban3–0Tianjin TedaSuper League
14 MarChongqing Tongliang Long1–0Shenyang UrbanSuper League
7Win44%
5Draw31%
4Lost25%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersShanghai Shenhua
No reported absences
Shenyang Urban
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Shanghai Shenhua Win1.42 (59.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.52 (55%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.40 (45%)
Both Teams Score1.66 (53.6%)
BTTS No2.09 (46.4%)
Speculative
Draw4.54 (19.2%)
Shenyang Urban Win6.14 (21.3%)
