Shanghai Shenhua vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
Shanghai Shenhua
#6 · Super League
LLWWW
VS
Shanghai Stadium, Shanghai (56,842)
Chongqing Tongliang Long
#2 · Super League
DLDWW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.69
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.66 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 52.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Shanghai Shenhua will face Chongqing Tongliang Long in the Super League at Shanghai Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Shanghai Shenhua has a 57% probability of winning this match. Chongqing Tongliang Long has a 23.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 19.8%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Shanghai Shenhua have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Chongqing Tongliang Long have kept clean sheets in 42% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Shanghai Shenhua57%1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.552.4%1.66
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes51.3%1.80
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-0
7.03
14.3%
1-0
7.29
13.8%
2-1
7.82
12.8%
1-1
8.04
12.5%
3-0
9.79
10.2%
3-1
10.81
9.3%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.44 | Draw 4.34 | Away 6.40 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.66 | Under 2.16 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.20 | Under 4.15 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.58 | Under 1.45 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.80 | No 1.89 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.10 | 12 1.19 | X2 2.67 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.6%
Over 1.5 Goals77.6%
Over 2.5 Goals52.4%
Over 3.5 Goals35.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 28 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 19 | DLDWW |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 | WLWWW |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 13 | DWLLW |
| 5 |  Shandong Luneng | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 11 | WDLWD |
| 6 | Shanghai Shenhua | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 10 | LLWWW |
| 14 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 3 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  Tianjin Teda | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 0 | DDWLW |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonShanghai ShenhuaChongqing Tongliang Long
1.53Goals p.g.1.16
1.47Goals conceded p.g.0.89
21%Clean sheets42%
37%Win rate47%
3Avg goals in match2.05
Recent Results
Shanghai ShenhuaLAST MATCHES
05 MayShandong Luneng4–1Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League
01 MayShanghai Shenhua2–3Chengdu Better CitySuper League
26 AprHenan Jianye0–3Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League
22 AprShanghai Shenhua2–0Qingdao JonoonSuper League
18 AprShanghai Shenhua3–1Shenyang UrbanSuper League
11 AprShanghai Shenhua1–0SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League
7Win37%
5Draw26%
7Lost37%
LAST MATCHESChongqing Tongliang Long
05 MayChongqing Tongliang Long1–1Henan JianyeSuper League
01 MayDalian Zhixing1–0Chongqing Tongliang LongSuper League
26 AprChongqing Tongliang Long1–1Qingdao Youth IslandSuper League
21 AprSHANGHAI SIPG1–2Chongqing Tongliang LongSuper League
17 AprChongqing Tongliang Long2–0Sichuan JiuniuSuper League
11 AprChongqing Tongliang Long2–1Wuhan Three TownsSuper League
9Win47%
6Draw32%
4Lost21%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersShanghai Shenhua
No reported absences
Chongqing Tongliang Long
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Shanghai Shenhua Win1.44 (57%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.66 (52.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.16 (47.6%)
Both Teams Score1.80 (51.3%)
BTTS No1.89 (48.7%)
Speculative
Draw4.34 (19.8%)
Chongqing Tongliang Long Win6.40 (23.2%)
