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SC Braga vs SC Freiburg

UEFA Europa LeagueSemi-finals
SC Braga
#6 · UEFA Europa League
WDWDW
VS
SC Freiburg
#7 · UEFA Europa League
LWWWL
45.8%
Home Win
25%
Draw
29.1%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.77
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.71 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 54.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , SC Braga will face SC Freiburg in the UEFA Europa League.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that SC Braga has a 45.8% probability of winning this match. SC Freiburg has a 29.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 25%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • SC Braga have won 3 of their last 5 games
  • SC Braga are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
  • SC Freiburg have won 3 of their last 5 games
  • SC Braga boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.8 goals per game
  • SC Braga have kept clean sheets in 56% of their matches

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — SC Braga45.8%2.36
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.554.6%1.71
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes50.8%1.82
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
5.77
17.4%
1-0
7.10
14.1%
0-0
8.27
12.2%
0-1
8.41
11.9%
2-1
8.71
11.5%
2-0
10.36
9.7%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 2.36Draw 3.11Away 3.13
O/U 2.5Over 2.13Under 1.71
O/U 1.5Over 1.35Under 3.06
O/U 3.5Over 3.72Under 1.25
BTTSYes 1.82No 1.90
Double Chance1X 1.3512 1.34X2 1.57

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
88.5%
Over 1.5 Goals
69.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
45.4%
Over 3.5 Goals
25.3%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

UEFA Europa League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Lyon
87011851321
WWWWL
2
Aston Villa
8701146821
WWWWW
3
FC Midtjylland
86111881019
WDWLW
4
Real Betis
8521137617
WLWWW
5
FC Porto
8521137617
WDWWD
6
SC Braga
8521115617
DWWDL
7
SC Freiburg
8521104617
LWWDW
34
Utrecht
8017515-101
LLLLD
35
Malmo FF
8017415-111
LLLLL
36
Maccabi Tel Aviv
8017222-201
LLLLL

Key Statistics

2025 Season
SC BragaSC Freiburg
1.83Goals p.g.1.32
0.78Goals conceded p.g.1.16
56%Clean sheets26%
61%Win rate47%
2.61Avg goals in match2.47

Recent Results

SC BragaLAST MATCHES
23 AprCasa Pia0–1SC BragaPrimeira Liga
19 AprSC Braga2–2FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
12 AprSC Braga1–0AroucaPrimeira Liga
08 AprSC Braga1–1Real BetisUEFA Europa League
04 AprMoreirense0–1SC BragaPrimeira Liga
22 MarSC Braga1–2FC PortoPrimeira Liga
11Win61%
4Draw22%
3Lost17%
LAST MATCHESSC Freiburg
23 AprVfB Stuttgart2–1SC FreiburgDFB Pokal
19 AprSC Freiburg2–11. FC HeidenheimBundesliga
12 AprFSV Mainz 050–1SC FreiburgBundesliga
09 AprSC Freiburg3–0Celta VigoUEFA Europa League
04 AprSC Freiburg2–3Bayern MünchenBundesliga
22 MarFC St. Pauli1–2SC FreiburgBundesliga
9Win47%
2Draw11%
8Lost42%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

SC Braga

No reported absences

SC Freiburg

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●Value Bets
SC Braga Win2.36 (45.8%)
Draw3.11 (25%)
SC Freiburg Win3.13 (29.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.13 (45.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.71 (54.6%)
Both Teams Score1.82 (50.8%)
BTTS No1.90 (49.2%)
SC Braga vs SC Freiburg Predictions, Stats, H2H - 30 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro