Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
#13 · UEFA Europa League
WDDWW
VS
City Ground, Nottingham
Aston Villa
#2 · UEFA Europa League
WDWLW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.75
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.72 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 53.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Nottingham Forest will face Aston Villa in the UEFA Europa League at City Ground.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Nottingham Forest has a 41.4% probability of winning this match. Aston Villa has a 34.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24.3%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Nottingham Forest have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Nottingham Forest are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Aston Villa have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Aston Villa sit 2nd in the table, 11 places above their opponents
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Nottingham Forest41.4%2.48
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.551.9%1.81
Both Teams to Score
Yes53.6%1.72
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.90
17%
1-0
7.88
12.7%
0-1
8.41
11.9%
2-1
9.05
11.1%
0-0
9.33
10.7%
1-2
9.63
10.5%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.48 | Draw 3.24 | Away 2.81 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.98 | Under 1.81 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.30 | Under 3.36 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.45 | Under 1.28 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.72 | No 2.03 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.41 | 12 1.32 | X2 1.51 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89.9%
Over 1.5 Goals72.1%
Over 2.5 Goals48.1%
Over 3.5 Goals27.1%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
UEFA Europa League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  FC Midtjylland | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 17 | WLWWW |
| 5 |  FC Porto | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 17 | WDWWD |
| 6 |  SC Braga | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 17 | DWWDL |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 14 | WLWWD |
| 34 |  Utrecht | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 1 | LLLLD |
| 35 |  Malmo FF | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 1 | LLLLL |
| 36 |  Maccabi Tel Aviv | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 22 | -20 | 1 | LLLLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonNottingham ForestAston Villa
1.53Goals p.g.1.44
0.94Goals conceded p.g.1.33
35%Clean sheets33%
35%Win rate50%
2.47Avg goals in match2.78
Recent Results
Nottingham ForestLAST MATCHES
19 AprNottingham Forest4–1BurnleyPremier League
12 AprNottingham Forest1–1Aston VillaPremier League
09 AprFC Porto1–1Nottingham ForestUEFA Europa League
22 MarTottenham0–3Nottingham ForestPremier League
19 MarFC Midtjylland1–2Nottingham ForestUEFA Europa League
15 MarNottingham Forest0–0FulhamPremier League
6Win35%
6Draw35%
5Lost29%
LAST MATCHESAston Villa
19 AprAston Villa4–3SunderlandPremier League
12 AprNottingham Forest1–1Aston VillaPremier League
09 AprBologna1–3Aston VillaUEFA Europa League
27 MarAston Villa1–2ElcheFriendlies Clubs
22 MarAston Villa2–0West HamPremier League
19 MarAston Villa2–0LilleUEFA Europa League
9Win50%
3Draw17%
6Lost33%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersNottingham Forest
No reported absences
Aston Villa
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Nottingham Forest Win2.48 (41.4%)
Aston Villa Win2.81 (34.4%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.98 (48.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.81 (51.9%)
Both Teams Score1.72 (53.6%)
BTTS No2.03 (46.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.24 (24.3%)
