Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Tromso
Sarpsborg 08 FF
#11 · Eliteserien
LDDWW
0 - 1
Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg
Referee: S. T. Sinnes
Tromso
#1 · Eliteserien
WWWWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.65
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.62 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 52.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Sarpsborg 08 FF will face Tromso in the Eliteserien at Sarpsborg Stadion.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Sarpsborg 08 FF has a 32.5% probability of winning this match. Tromso has a 44% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.5%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Tromso are in outstanding form with 5 wins from their last 5 matches
- Tromso sit 1st in the table, 10 places above their opponents
- Tromso have a solid defence with 0.6 goals conceded per game
- Tromso have kept clean sheets in 62% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Tromso44%2.13
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.552.5%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes52.6%1.62
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.32
15.9%
1-2
8.14
12.4%
0-1
8.14
12.4%
2-1
10.19
9.9%
1-0
10.28
9.8%
0-2
10.36
9.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.17 | Draw 3.44 | Away 2.13 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.78 | Under 2.00 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.23 | Under 3.81 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.88 | Under 1.37 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.62 | No 2.16 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.68 | 12 1.28 | X2 1.33 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91%
Over 1.5 Goals75.6%
Over 2.5 Goals47.5%
Over 3.5 Goals32.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tromso | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 16 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Lillestrom | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 13 | WDWWW |
| 3 |  Viking | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 12 | WWWWL |
| 4 |  Molde | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | DWLLW |
| 5 |  Bodo/Glimt | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | WDLW |
| 6 |  Valerenga | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 | LDLWW |
| 11 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 | LDLDW |
| 14 |  Brann | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 15 |  Start | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | DLDDL |
| 16 |  Aalesund | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 2 | LDLDL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonSarpsborg 08 FFTromso
1.6Goals p.g.1.5
0.87Goals conceded p.g.0.56
33%Clean sheets62%
53%Win rate69%
2.47Avg goals in match2.06
Recent Results
Sarpsborg 08 FFLAST MATCHES
19 AprSarpsborg 08 FF0–1TromsoEliteserien
06 AprSarpsborg 08 FF1–1StartEliteserien
26 MarSarpsborg 08 FF2–2Ham-KamFriendlies Clubs
22 MarSandefjord0–2Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserien
14 MarSarpsborg 08 FF3–0BK HackenFriendlies Clubs
08 MarFredrikstad2–1Sarpsborg 08 FFNM Cupen
8Win53%
2Draw13%
3Lost20%
LAST MATCHESTromso
19 AprSarpsborg 08 FF0–1TromsoEliteserien
11 AprTromso2–0Kristiansund BKEliteserien
06 AprTromso2–0RosenborgEliteserien
27 MarTromso1–0StartFriendlies Clubs
22 MarBrann1–2TromsoEliteserien
15 MarTromso4–0FredrikstadEliteserien
11Win69%
2Draw13%
3Lost19%
Lineups
ConfirmedSarpsborg 08 FF4-4-2Confirmed
4Bjorn UtvikDEF
12Claus NiyukuriDEF
21Anders HiimDEF
24Sigurd RostedDEF
33Andreas HansenFWD
11Daniel KarlsbakkFWD
1Mamour NdiayeGK
8Sander ChristiansenMID
17Noa WilliamsMID
6Aimar SherMID
10Sondre SörliMID
Substitutes
2Menno KochDEF
32Eirik WichneDEF
5Magnar OdegaardDEF
14Jo Inge BergetFWD
87Leander ØyGK
22Victor Emanuel HalvorsenMID
81Mathias Svenningsen-GrønnMID
18Bop GuèyeMID
26Chris KouakouMID
Tromso5-3-2Confirmed
29Alexander WarnerydDEF
25Abubacarr KintehDEF
21Tobias Kvalvagnes GuddalDEF
2Leo CornicDEF
4Vetle SkjaervikDEF
22Heine Asen LarsenFWD
7Lars Olden LarsenFWD
1Jakob HaugaardGK
5David EdvardssonMID
11Ruben JenssenMID
6Jens Hjertø-DahlMID
Substitutes
3Mathias TonnessenDEF
30Isak VadebuDEF
24Jens Berland HusebøDEF
9Daniel BrautFWD
12Ole LauvliGK
19Aleksander Lilletun ElvebuMID
27Mads MikkelsenMID
10Troy NyhammerMID
37Sander InnværMID
Unavailable Players
7 playersSarpsborg 08 FF5
Camil Mmaee
Missing FixtureGroin Injury
F. Carstensen
Missing FixtureInjury
J. Berget
Missing FixtureInjury
M. Opoku
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
P. Reinhardsen
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
Tromso2
J. Grundt
Missing FixtureFoot Injury
V. Ekblom
Missing FixtureGroin Injury
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Sarpsborg 08 FF Win3.17 (32.5%)
Tromso Win2.13 (44%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.78 (47.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.00 (52.5%)
Both Teams Score1.62 (52.6%)
BTTS No2.16 (47.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.44 (23.5%)
