Rubin vs CSKA Moscow
Rubin
#7 · Premier League
DWDWW
0 - 0
Ak Bars Arena, Kazan
Referee: R. Shafeev
CSKA Moscow
#6 · Premier League
LDWWW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.69
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.65 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 54.8% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Rubin will face CSKA Moscow in the Premier League at Ak Bars Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Rubin has a 40.9% probability of winning this match. CSKA Moscow has a 35.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Rubin have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Rubin are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- CSKA Moscow have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Rubin boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.4 goals per game
- Rubin have kept clean sheets in 50% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Rubin40.9%2.99
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.554.8%1.65
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes50.5%1.93
Based on avg. implied odds from 4 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.69
17.6%
0-1
6.21
16.1%
1-0
7.15
14%
0-0
8.11
12.4%
1-2
9.18
10.9%
0-2
10.28
9.7%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.99 | Draw 3.33 | Away 2.43 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.33 | Under 1.65 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.40 | Under 2.82 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 4.33 | Under 1.20 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.93 | No 1.79 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.59 | 12 1.33 | X2 1.39 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89.4%
Over 1.5 Goals66.8%
Over 2.5 Goals45.2%
Over 3.5 Goals21.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zenit | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 45 | 17 | 28 | 56 | DWDWW |
| 2 |  FC Krasnodar | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 54 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Lokomotiv | 26 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 49 | DWDLW |
| 4 |  Baltika | 25 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 15 | 21 | 45 | DDDWW |
| 5 |  Spartak Moscow | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 45 | WDWWL |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 44 | DDLWW |
| 7 | Rubin | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 38 | WDDWD |
| 14 |  Krylia Sovetov | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 23 | LDDLD |
| 15 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 22 | LDDLL |
| 16 |  FC Sochi | 26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 18 | WWWLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonRubinCSKA Moscow
1.36Goals p.g.1.88
0.43Goals conceded p.g.1.76
50%Clean sheets0%
57%Win rate41%
1.79Avg goals in match3.65
Recent Results
RubinLAST MATCHES
18 AprRubin1–1AkronPremier League
06 AprFC Sochi0–1RubinPremier League
22 MarKrylia Sovetov0–0RubinPremier League
15 MarRubin3–0LokomotivPremier League
08 MarRubin2–1FC KrasnodarPremier League
28 FebDinamo Makhachkala2–1RubinPremier League
8Win57%
2Draw14%
2Lost14%
LAST MATCHESCSKA Moscow
21 AprCSKA Moscow0–1FC RostovPremier League
18 AprKrylia Sovetov1–1CSKA MoscowPremier League
07 AprKrylia Sovetov2–5CSKA MoscowCup
04 AprAkron1–2CSKA MoscowPremier League
21 MarCSKA Moscow3–1Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
17 MarFC Krasnodar4–0CSKA MoscowCup
7Win41%
4Draw24%
6Lost35%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
5 playersRubin2
A. Shvets
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
U. Iwu
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
CSKA Moscow3
I. Akinfeev
QuestionableHeart Problems
K. Glebov
Missing FixtureHip Injury
M. Lukin
QuestionableHip Injury
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Rubin Win2.99 (40.9%)
CSKA Moscow Win2.43 (35.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.33 (45.2%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.65 (54.8%)
Both Teams Score1.93 (50.5%)
BTTS No1.79 (49.5%)
Speculative
Draw3.33 (24%)
