QPR vs Swansea
QPR
#13 · Championship
LDWWW
1 - 2
Loftus Road, London
Referee: L. Doughty
Swansea
#11 · Championship
WLWDD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.75
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.72 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 56.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , QPR will face Swansea in the Championship at Loftus Road.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that QPR has a 42.6% probability of winning this match. Swansea has a 33.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.8%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- QPR have won 3 of their last 5 games
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — QPR42.6%2.26
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.551.6%1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.72
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.92
16.9%
1-0
7.53
13.3%
2-1
8.43
11.9%
0-1
9.15
11%
0-0
9.24
10.9%
1-2
10.23
9.9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.26 | Draw 3.28 | Away 3.14 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.95 | Under 1.83 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.29 | Under 3.36 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.32 | Under 1.30 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.72 | No 2.03 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.34 | 12 1.31 | X2 1.60 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89.9%
Over 1.5 Goals72.2%
Over 2.5 Goals51.6%
Over 3.5 Goals28.2%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry | 44 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 90 | 44 | 46 | 89 | WDDDW |
| 2 |  Millwall | 45 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 61 | 48 | 13 | 80 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Ipswich | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 79 | WDLWW |
| 4 |  Southampton | 44 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 77 | 53 | 24 | 76 | DWWWW |
| 5 |  Middlesbrough | 44 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 76 | WDLDL |
| 6 |  Wrexham | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 66 | 60 | 6 | 70 | WWLLD |
| 11 | Swansea | 44 | 17 | 9 | 18 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 60 | WLWDD |
| 13 | QPR | 44 | 16 | 10 | 18 | 59 | 67 | -8 | 58 | LLDDW |
| 22 |  Oxford United | 44 | 10 | 14 | 20 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 | LLWDD |
| 23 |  Leicester | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 43 | DLLDD |
| 24 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 44 | 1 | 12 | 31 | 26 | 84 | -58 | -3 | LDDDL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonQPRSwansea
1.33Goals p.g.1.47
1.73Goals conceded p.g.1.35
13%Clean sheets29%
33%Win rate47%
3.07Avg goals in match2.82
Recent Results
QPRLAST MATCHES
18 AprMillwall2–0QPRChampionship
06 AprPreston1–1QPRChampionship
03 AprQPR2–1WatfordChampionship
21 MarQPR6–1PortsmouthChampionship
14 MarLeicester1–3QPRChampionship
11 MarBirmingham1–0QPRChampionship
5Win33%
3Draw20%
7Lost47%
LAST MATCHESSwansea
21 AprQPR1–2SwanseaChampionship
18 AprSwansea1–2SouthamptonChampionship
11 AprLeicester0–1SwanseaChampionship
06 AprSwansea2–2MiddlesbroughChampionship
03 AprSheffield Utd3–3SwanseaChampionship
21 MarSwansea0–3CoventryChampionship
8Win47%
3Draw18%
6Lost35%
Lineups
ConfirmedQPR4-4-2Confirmed
2Kealey AdamsonDEF
18Rhys Norrington-DaviesDEF
37Ronnie EdwardsDEF
5Steve CookDEF
26Rayan KolliFWD
16Rumarn BurrellFWD
13Joe WalshGK
17Kwame PokuMID
21Kieran MorganMID
20Harvey ValeMID
15Isaac HaydenMID
Substitutes
30Tylon SmithDEF
27Amadou Salif MbengueDEF
28EsquerdinhaDEF
11Paul SmythFWD
22Richard KoneFWD
29Ben HamerGK
10Ilias ChairMID
40Jonathan VaraneMID
24Nicolas MadsenMID
Swansea4-2-3-1Confirmed
41Samuel ParkerDEF
14Josh TymonDEF
15Cameron BurgessDEF
5Ben CabangoDEF
33Adam IdahFWD
22Lawrence VigourouxGK
35RonaldMID
17Gonçalo FrancoMID
4Jay FultonMID
7Melker WidellMID
21Leo WaltaMID
Substitutes
25Joel WardDEF
18Gustavo NunesFWD
10Ji-sung EomFWD
9Žan VipotnikFWD
20Liam CullenFWD
1Andrew FisherGK
6Marko StamenićMID
8Malick YalcouyéMID
Unavailable Players
8 playersQPR4
J. Dunne
Missing FixtureInactive
K. Dembele
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
K. Saito
Missing FixtureInactive
Z. Larkeche
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Swansea4
E. Galbraith
Missing FixtureInactive
I. Samuels-Smith
Missing FixtureInactive
J. Key
Missing FixtureInactive
Z. Inoussa
Missing FixtureBack Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.72 (56%)
Value Bets
QPR Win2.26 (42.6%)
Swansea Win3.14 (33.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.95 (51.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.83 (48.4%)
BTTS No2.03 (44%)
Speculative
Draw3.28 (23.8%)
