Qingdao Youth Island vs Henan Jianye
Qingdao Youth Island
#9 · Super League
DDLWL
0 - 0
Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center, Qingdao
Henan Jianye
#13 · Super League
DLLLD
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.76
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.71 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 55.2% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Qingdao Youth Island will face Henan Jianye in the Super League at Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Qingdao Youth Island has a 44.3% probability of winning this match. Henan Jianye has a 30.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24.9%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Qingdao Youth Island44.3%2.45
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.555.2%1.71
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes50.7%1.79
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.69
17.6%
1-0
7.27
13.8%
0-1
7.80
12.9%
0-0
8.02
12.6%
2-1
8.97
11.2%
1-2
9.69
10.5%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.45 | Draw 3.11 | Away 2.85 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.08 | Under 1.71 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.33 | Under 3.04 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.66 | Under 1.24 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.79 | No 1.92 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.39 | 12 1.32 | X2 1.50 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals88.2%
Over 1.5 Goals69.5%
Over 2.5 Goals44.8%
Over 3.5 Goals25.4%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 17 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 9 | LLWLW |
| 5 |  Shanghai Shenhua | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 | WDWLL |
| 9 | Qingdao Youth Island | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 6 | DDDLW |
| 13 | Henan Jianye | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 2 | DLLLD |
| 14 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 2 | WLLLD |
| 15 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | -2 | LDDWL |
| 16 |  Tianjin Teda | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | -5 | LWDLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonQingdao Youth IslandHenan Jianye
1Goals p.g.1.31
1.47Goals conceded p.g.1.12
27%Clean sheets19%
33%Win rate38%
2.47Avg goals in match2.44
Recent Results
Qingdao Youth IslandLAST MATCHES
22 AprQingdao Youth Island0–0Henan JianyeSuper League
11 AprQingdao Youth Island1–1Shenyang UrbanSuper League
03 AprChengdu Better City5–1Qingdao Youth IslandSuper League
21 MarQingdao Youth Island1–0Sichuan JiuniuSuper League
15 MarSHANGHAI SIPG4–1Qingdao Youth IslandSuper League
08 MarHangzhou Greentown2–0Qingdao Youth IslandSuper League
5Win33%
4Draw27%
6Lost40%
LAST MATCHESHenan Jianye
22 AprQingdao Youth Island0–0Henan JianyeSuper League
18 AprDalian Zhixing2–1Henan JianyeSuper League
11 AprHenan Jianye0–1Shandong LunengSuper League
04 AprQingdao Jonoon1–0Henan JianyeSuper League
21 MarHenan Jianye1–1Wuhan Three TownsSuper League
15 MarHenan Jianye2–1Yunnan YukunSuper League
6Win38%
5Draw31%
5Lost31%
Lineups
ConfirmedQingdao Youth Island4-4-2Confirmed
5Samir MemisevicDEF
22Gengrui WangDEF
23RezendeDEF
19Yu DongDEF
9AzizFWD
45Xiaolong LiuFWD
16Hao LiGK
21Jingchao MengMID
11DavidsonMID
25Xinli PengMID
10Nelson LuzMID
Substitutes
36Jie SunDEF
3Honglüe ZhaoDEF
15Peng WangDEF
28Chengdong ZhangDEF
13Haoyu SongDEF
27Aifeierding AisikaerFWD
29Jia WeiweiFWD
37Dong HangGK
26Shibo LiuGK
18Barak BraunshtainMID
8Xiuwei ZhangMID
30Yang ZhanpengMID
Henan Jianye4-2-3-1Confirmed
4Yeljan ShinarDEF
22Huang RuifengDEF
23Lucas MaiaDEF
2Iago MaidanaDEF
24Congyao YinFWD
18Gouming WangGK
6Shangyuan WangMID
15Abraham HalikMID
7Yihao ZhongMID
21Chao HeMID
13Abdurasul AbudulamMID
Substitutes
27Yixin LiuDEF
11Nebijan MuhmetDEF
3Oliver GerbigDEF
19Xu HaofengDEF
5Liu JiahuiDEF
14Jordi MboulaFWD
9GustavoFWD
29Dalun ZhengFWD
33Chenglong ShiGK
25Yilin YangMID
39Osman EkberMID
30Xulin FanMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersQingdao Youth Island
No reported absences
Henan Jianye
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.71 (55.2%)
Value Bets
Qingdao Youth Island Win2.45 (44.3%)
Henan Jianye Win2.85 (30.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.08 (44.8%)
Both Teams Score1.79 (50.7%)
BTTS No1.92 (49.3%)
Speculative
Draw3.11 (24.9%)
