Qingdao Jonoon vs Shandong Luneng
Qingdao Jonoon
#15 · Super League
LDWLL
4 - 1
Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, Qingdao
Shandong Luneng
#6 · Super League
WWLLW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.71
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.67 (implied 59.7%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 60.2% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.66. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Qingdao Jonoon will face Shandong Luneng in the Super League at Qingdao Youth Football Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Qingdao Jonoon has a 27% probability of winning this match. Shandong Luneng has a 52% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Shandong Luneng have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Shandong Luneng sit 6th in the table, 9 places above their opponents
- Shandong Luneng average 2.4 goals per game
- With a combined average of 3.7 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Shandong Luneng52%1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.560.2%1.67
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes59.9%1.63
Based on avg. implied odds from 9 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.15
14%
1-2
7.70
13.1%
0-1
8.01
12.5%
0-2
8.99
11.2%
0-0
12.25
8.5%
1-3
12.03
8.4%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 4.11 | Draw 3.75 | Away 1.75 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.67 | Under 2.12 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.19 | Under 4.10 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.61 | Under 1.42 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.63 | No 2.13 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 2.02 | 12 1.24 | X2 1.21 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.3%
Over 1.5 Goals77.4%
Over 2.5 Goals60.2%
Over 3.5 Goals35.2%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 17 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 9 | LLWLW |
| 5 |  Shanghai Shenhua | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 6 | Shandong Luneng | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 | WDWLL |
| 14 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 2 | WLLLD |
| 15 | Qingdao Jonoon | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | -2 | LDDWL |
| 16 |  Tianjin Teda | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | -5 | LWDLL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonQingdao JonoonShandong Luneng
1.27Goals p.g.2.4
1.8Goals conceded p.g.1.4
13%Clean sheets20%
20%Win rate60%
3.07Avg goals in match3.8
Recent Results
Qingdao JonoonLAST MATCHES
22 AprShanghai Shenhua2–0Qingdao JonoonSuper League
12 AprTianjin Teda1–1Qingdao JonoonSuper League
04 AprQingdao Jonoon1–0Henan JianyeSuper League
20 MarQingdao Jonoon1–4Hangzhou GreentownSuper League
15 MarChengdu Better City1–0Qingdao JonoonSuper League
07 MarYunnan Yukun3–1Qingdao JonoonSuper League
3Win20%
5Draw33%
7Lost47%
LAST MATCHESShandong Luneng
21 AprTianjin Teda1–2Shandong LunengSuper League
11 AprHenan Jianye0–1Shandong LunengSuper League
04 AprShandong Luneng1–2Dalian ZhixingSuper League
21 MarYunnan Yukun4–0Shandong LunengSuper League
14 MarShandong Luneng2–1Beijing GuoanSuper League
07 MarShandong Luneng3–0Shenyang UrbanSuper League
9Win60%
4Draw27%
2Lost13%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersQingdao Jonoon
No reported absences
Shandong Luneng
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.67 (60.2%)
Both Teams Score1.63 (59.9%)
Value Bets
Qingdao Jonoon Win4.11 (27%)
Shandong Luneng Win1.75 (52%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.12 (39.8%)
BTTS No2.13 (40.1%)
Speculative
Draw3.75 (21%)
