Preston vs West Brom
Preston
#16 · Championship
LDDWL
0 - 2
Deepdale, Preston
Referee: J. Smith
West Brom
#18 · Championship
WDDDW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.78
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.70 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 57.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Preston will face West Brom in the Championship at Deepdale.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Preston has a 33.4% probability of winning this match. West Brom has a 42.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24.5%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- West Brom are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- West Brom have kept clean sheets in 44% of their matches
- Both teams average a combined 1.7 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — West Brom42.1%2.14
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.557.5%1.70
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No52.1%1.87
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.88
17%
0-1
6.47
15.5%
0-0
8.26
12.1%
1-2
8.37
12%
1-0
8.79
11.4%
0-2
9.22
10.9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.42 | Draw 3.23 | Away 2.14 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.13 | Under 1.70 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.35 | Under 3.04 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.77 | Under 1.24 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.85 | No 1.87 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.67 | 12 1.31 | X2 1.29 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals88.9%
Over 1.5 Goals69.2%
Over 2.5 Goals42.5%
Over 3.5 Goals24.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry | 44 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 90 | 44 | 46 | 89 | WDDDW |
| 2 |  Millwall | 45 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 61 | 48 | 13 | 80 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Ipswich | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 79 | WDLWW |
| 4 |  Southampton | 44 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 77 | 53 | 24 | 76 | DWWWW |
| 5 |  Middlesbrough | 44 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 76 | WDLDL |
| 6 |  Wrexham | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 66 | 60 | 6 | 70 | WWLLD |
| 16 | Preston | 44 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 57 | LLWDD |
| 18 | West Brom | 44 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 52 | WWDDD |
| 22 |  Oxford United | 44 | 10 | 14 | 20 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 | LLWDD |
| 23 |  Leicester | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 43 | DLLDD |
| 24 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 44 | 1 | 12 | 31 | 26 | 84 | -58 | -3 | LDDDL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonPrestonWest Brom
0.8Goals p.g.0.88
1.87Goals conceded p.g.1
7%Clean sheets44%
13%Win rate19%
2.67Avg goals in match1.88
Recent Results
PrestonLAST MATCHES
18 AprPreston0–2West BromChampionship
06 AprPreston1–1QPRChampionship
03 AprLeicester2–2PrestonChampionship
20 MarPreston3–1Stoke CityChampionship
14 MarNorwich2–0PrestonChampionship
11 MarCoventry3–0PrestonChampionship
2Win13%
5Draw33%
8Lost53%
LAST MATCHESWest Brom
18 AprPreston0–2West BromChampionship
10 AprWest Brom0–0MillwallChampionship
06 AprBlackburn0–0West BromChampionship
03 AprWest Brom2–2WrexhamChampionship
21 MarBristol City0–1West BromChampionship
14 MarWest Brom3–0Hull CityChampionship
3Win19%
9Draw56%
4Lost25%
Lineups
ConfirmedPreston3-5-2Confirmed
14Jordan StoreyDEF
16Andrew HughesDEF
19Lewis GibsonDEF
17Lewis DobbinFWD
9Daniel JebbisonFWD
1Daniel IversenGK
4Benjamin WhitemanMID
21Alfie DevineMID
42Odeluga OffiahMID
44Brad PottsMID
23Andrew MoranMID
Substitutes
26Thierry SmallDEF
3Andrija VukcevicDEF
2Pol ValentínDEF
6Liam LindsayDEF
22Miloš LukovićFWD
24Michael SmithFWD
28Milutin OsmajićFWD
13David CornellGK
15Jordan ThompsonMID
West Brom4-4-2Confirmed
3Nathaniel PhillipsDEF
4Callum StylesDEF
6George CampbellDEF
30Daniel ImrayDEF
19Aune Selland HeggebøFWD
9Josh MajaFWD
1Max O'LearyGK
8Jayson MolumbyMID
21Isaac PriceMID
27Alex MowattMID
17Ousmane DiakitéMID
Substitutes
14Alfie GilchristDEF
29Charlie TaylorDEF
2Chris MephamDEF
26Tammer BanyFWD
12Daryl DikeFWD
49Eseosa SuleFWD
10Karlan GrantFWD
37Oliver BostockFWD
20Joshua GriffithsGK
Unavailable Players
6 playersPreston3
A. McCann
Missing FixtureInjury
C. Lang
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury
R. Brady
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
West Brom3
J. Wallace
Missing FixtureInactive
K. Bielik
Missing FixtureInjury
M. Johnston
Missing FixtureBroken Leg
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.70 (57.5%)
Value Bets
Preston Win3.42 (33.4%)
West Brom Win2.14 (42.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.13 (42.5%)
Both Teams Score1.85 (47.9%)
BTTS No1.87 (52.1%)
Speculative
Draw3.23 (24.5%)
