Pisa vs Genoa

Serie ARegular Season - 33

Pisa

#20 · Serie A

LLLLW

1 - 2

Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa

Referee: V. Crezzini

Genoa

#13 · Serie A

WLLWW

26.5%

Home Win

25.2%

Draw

48.3%

Away Win

★ OUR PICK

Under 2.5 Goals

Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.

Totals

1.58

BEST ODDS

Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.53 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 55.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.

Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Pisa will face Genoa in the Serie A at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Pisa has a 26.5% probability of winning this match. Genoa has a 48.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 25.2%.

Key factors in this prediction:

Genoa have won 3 of their last 5 games

Match Preview

Predictions

Closely matched

Match Result

2 — Genoa48.3%2.49

Over / Under 2.5

Under 2.555.4%1.53

✓ OUR PICK

Both Teams to Score

No51.3%1.74

Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes

1-1

5.59

17.9%

0-1

6.15

16.3%

0-0

6.75

14.9%

1-0

7.13

14.1%

1-2

9.36

10.8%

0-2

10.48

9.6%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds

Market	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3
1X2	Home 3.11	Draw 3.01	Away 2.49
O/U 2.5	Over 2.50	Under 1.53
O/U 1.5	Over 1.47	Under 2.58
O/U 3.5	Over 4.88	Under 1.16
BTTS	Yes 2.03	No 1.74
Double Chance	1X 1.53	12 1.37	X2 1.37

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds

Over 0.5 Goals

86.3%

Over 1.5 Goals

63.6%

Over 2.5 Goals

44.6%

Over 3.5 Goals

19.3%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Inter	33	25	3	5	78	29	49	78	WWWDD
2	Napoli	34	21	6	7	52	33	19	69	WLDWW
3	AC Milan	33	19	9	5	48	27	21	66	WLLWL
4	Juventus	33	18	9	6	57	29	28	63	WWWDW
5	Como	33	16	10	7	57	28	29	58	LLDWW
6	AS Roma	33	18	4	11	46	29	17	58	DWLWL
13	Genoa	33	10	9	14	40	46	-6	39	WWLLW
18	Lecce	33	7	7	19	22	46	-24	28	DLLLL
19	Hellas Verona	33	3	9	21	23	56	-33	18	LLLLL
20	Pisa	33	2	12	19	24	60	-36	18	LLLLW

Key Statistics

2025 Season

PisaGenoa

0.73Goals p.g.1.43

2.33Goals conceded p.g.1.21

7%Clean sheets36%

7%Win rate43%

3.07Avg goals in match2.64

Recent Results

PisaLAST MATCHES

19 AprPisa1–2GenoaSerie A

10 AprAS Roma3–0PisaSerie A

05 AprPisa0–1TorinoSerie A

22 MarComo5–0PisaSerie A

15 MarPisa3–1CagliariSerie A

07 MarJuventus4–0PisaSerie A

1Win7%

3Draw20%

11Lost73%

LAST MATCHESGenoa

19 AprPisa1–2GenoaSerie A

06 AprJuventus2–0GenoaSerie A

20 MarGenoa0–2UdineseSerie A

15 MarHellas Verona0–2GenoaSerie A

08 MarGenoa2–1AS RomaSerie A

28 FebInter2–0GenoaSerie A

6Win43%

3Draw21%

5Lost36%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

10 players

Pisa4

✕D. Denoon

Missing FixtureAnkle Injury

✕Lorran

Missing FixtureCoach's decision

✕M. Marin

Missing FixtureInjury

✕S. Iling Junior

Missing FixtureCoach's decision

Genoa6

✕B. Norton-Cuffy

Missing FixtureThigh Injury

✕J. Onana

Missing FixtureInjury

✕M. Cornet

Missing FixtureThigh Injury

✕M. E. Ellertsson

Missing FixtureRed Card

✕M. Frendrup

Missing FixtureYellow Cards

✕R. Malinovskyi

Missing FixtureYellow Cards

Betting Strategy

●High Probability

Under 2.5 Goals1.53 (55.4%)

●Value Bets

Pisa Win3.11 (26.5%)

Draw3.01 (25.2%)

Genoa Win2.49 (48.3%)

Over 2.5 Goals2.50 (44.6%)

Both Teams Score2.03 (48.7%)

BTTS No1.74 (51.3%)