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Paide vs Kalju Nomme

MeistriliigaRegular Season - 7
Paide
#3 · Meistriliiga
WWWDW
1 - 0
Paide linnastaadion, Paide
Referee: J. Jaanovits
Kalju Nomme
#1 · Meistriliiga
LWWWW
39.9%
Home Win
23.5%
Draw
36.7%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.73
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.64 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 57.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Paide will face Kalju Nomme in the Meistriliiga at Paide linnastaadion.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Paide has a 39.9% probability of winning this match. Kalju Nomme has a 36.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.5%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Paide are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
  • Kalju Nomme are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
  • Paide average 2.1 goals per game
  • Kalju Nomme have kept clean sheets in 40% of their matches
  • With a combined average of 3.9 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — Paide39.9%2.76
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.553.6%1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes57.3%1.64
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
5.94
17%
0-1
7.84
12.8%
1-2
8.13
12.4%
0-0
8.76
12.2%
1-0
8.75
11.5%
2-1
9.19
11%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 2.76Draw 3.23Away 2.29
O/U 2.5Over 1.79Under 1.89
O/U 1.5Over 1.23Under 3.41
O/U 3.5Over 2.92Under 1.32
BTTSYes 1.64No 2.06
Double Chance1X 1.5212 1.26X2 1.36

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
88.7%
Over 1.5 Goals
73.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
53.6%
Over 3.5 Goals
31.2%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Meistriliiga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Kalju Nomme
86111841419
WLDWW
2
FC Levadia Tallinn
85301771018
WWDWD
3
Paide
8521169717
DWWWW
4
Laagri
84131312113
DWLLW
5
Flora Tallinn
84041411312
WLWWL
6
Kuressaare
8305915-69
LWWLL
8
Nõmme United
82151821-37
LLWLD
9
Vaprus
8215717-107
WDLLL
10
Trans Narva
8206919-106
LLLWL

Key Statistics

2026 Season
PaideKalju Nomme
2.07Goals p.g.1.8
1.2Goals conceded p.g.0.87
33%Clean sheets40%
60%Win rate53%
3.27Avg goals in match2.67

Recent Results

PaideLAST MATCHES
19 AprPaide1–0Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
08 AprPaide3–1Nõmme UnitedMeistriliiga
03 AprKuressaare0–1PaideMeistriliiga
22 MarFC Levadia Tallinn2–2PaideMeistriliiga
15 MarPaide1–0Trans NarvaMeistriliiga
11 MarPaide6–0Tallinna KalevCup
9Win60%
3Draw20%
3Lost20%
LAST MATCHESKalju Nomme
19 AprPaide1–0Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
08 AprLaagri0–2Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
03 AprKalju Nomme2–1Trans NarvaMeistriliiga
21 MarKalju Nomme4–0KuressaareMeistriliiga
15 MarFlora Tallinn0–1Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
08 MarTammeka0–1Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
8Win53%
3Draw20%
3Lost20%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Paide

No reported absences

Kalju Nomme

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Both Teams Score1.64 (57.3%)
●Value Bets
Paide Win2.76 (39.9%)
Kalju Nomme Win2.29 (36.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.79 (53.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.89 (46.4%)
BTTS No2.06 (42.7%)
●Speculative
Draw3.23 (23.5%)
Paide vs Kalju Nomme Predictions, Stats, H2H - 19 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro