Paide vs Flora Tallinn
Paide
#3 · Meistriliiga
WWWDW
1 - 2
Paide linnastaadion, Paide
Flora Tallinn
#5 · Meistriliiga
LWLLL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.54 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 60.2% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Paide will face Flora Tallinn in the Meistriliiga at Paide linnastaadion.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Paide has a 47.8% probability of winning this match. Flora Tallinn has a 29.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.7%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Paide are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Paide average 2.1 goals per game
- With a combined average of 3.6 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Paide47.8%2.31
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.557%1.66
Both Teams to Score
Yes60.2%1.54
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 8 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.17
16.3%
2-1
8.14
12.5%
1-0
8.80
11.6%
1-2
8.97
11.3%
0-1
9.35
10.8%
2-2
10.17
10%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.31 | Draw 3.38 | Away 2.67 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.66 | Under 2.11 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.18 | Under 4.21 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.61 | Under 1.42 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.54 | No 2.31 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.39 | 12 1.25 | X2 1.52 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.5%
Over 1.5 Goals78.2%
Over 2.5 Goals57%
Over 3.5 Goals35.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kalju Nomme | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 19 | WLDWW |
| 2 |  FC Levadia Tallinn | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 | WWDWD |
| 3 | Paide | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 17 | DWWWW |
| 4 |  Laagri | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 | DWLLW |
| 5 | Flora Tallinn | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 | WLWWL |
| 6 |  Kuressaare | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 9 | LWWLL |
| 8 |  Nõmme United | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 7 | LLWLD |
| 9 |  Vaprus | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 | WDLLL |
| 10 |  Trans Narva | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 6 | LLLWL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonPaideFlora Tallinn
2.07Goals p.g.1.53
1.2Goals conceded p.g.1.27
33%Clean sheets33%
60%Win rate53%
3.27Avg goals in match2.8
Recent Results
PaideLAST MATCHES
19 AprPaide1–0Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
08 AprPaide3–1Nõmme UnitedMeistriliiga
03 AprKuressaare0–1PaideMeistriliiga
22 MarFC Levadia Tallinn2–2PaideMeistriliiga
15 MarPaide1–0Trans NarvaMeistriliiga
11 MarPaide6–0Tallinna KalevCup
9Win60%
3Draw20%
3Lost20%
LAST MATCHESFlora Tallinn
19 AprFC Levadia Tallinn4–0Flora TallinnMeistriliiga
07 AprFlora Tallinn2–1KuressaareMeistriliiga
03 AprTammeka3–1Flora TallinnMeistriliiga
22 MarLaagri2–0Flora TallinnMeistriliiga
15 MarFlora Tallinn0–1Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
10 MarFlora Tallinn3–1Nõmme UnitedCup
8Win53%
1Draw7%
6Lost40%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersPaide
No reported absences
Flora Tallinn
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.66 (57%)
Both Teams Score1.54 (60.2%)
Value Bets
Paide Win2.31 (47.8%)
Flora Tallinn Win2.67 (29.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.11 (43%)
BTTS No2.31 (39.8%)
Speculative
Draw3.38 (22.7%)
