Oxford United vs Sheffield Wednesday
Oxford United
#22 · Championship
LDDLD
4 - 1
Kassam Stadium, Oxford
Referee: R. Madley
Sheffield Wednesday
#24 · Championship
DDLLL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
1.80
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.73 for Both Teams Not to Score. Our model calculates a 54.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Oxford United will face Sheffield Wednesday in the Championship at Kassam Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Oxford United has a 55.1% probability of winning this match. Sheffield Wednesday has a 17.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 27.9%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Both teams average a combined 1.3 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Oxford United55.1%1.46
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.553.5%1.91
Both Teams to Score
No54.4%1.73
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
5.90
17%
2-0
6.24
16.1%
2-1
7.64
13.2%
1-1
7.78
12.9%
3-0
9.49
10.6%
0-0
10.66
9.5%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.46 | Draw 4.42 | Away 6.34 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.87 | Under 1.91 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.27 | Under 3.52 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.17 | Under 1.33 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.03 | No 1.73 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.10 | 12 1.18 | X2 2.63 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.8%
Over 1.5 Goals73.5%
Over 2.5 Goals46.5%
Over 3.5 Goals29.5%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry | 44 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 90 | 44 | 46 | 89 | WDDDW |
| 2 |  Millwall | 45 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 61 | 48 | 13 | 80 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Ipswich | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 79 | WDLWW |
| 4 |  Southampton | 44 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 77 | 53 | 24 | 76 | DWWWW |
| 5 |  Middlesbrough | 44 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 76 | WDLDL |
| 6 |  Wrexham | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 66 | 60 | 6 | 70 | WWLLD |
| 22 | Oxford United | 44 | 10 | 14 | 20 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 | LLWDD |
| 23 |  Leicester | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 43 | DLLDD |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday | 44 | 1 | 12 | 31 | 26 | 84 | -58 | -3 | LDDDL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonOxford UnitedSheffield Wednesday
0.8Goals p.g.0.53
1.33Goals conceded p.g.1.93
20%Clean sheets0%
20%Win rate0%
2.13Avg goals in match2.47
Recent Results
Oxford UnitedLAST MATCHES
18 AprDerby1–0Oxford UnitedChampionship
06 AprPortsmouth2–2Oxford UnitedChampionship
03 AprOxford United1–1Hull CityChampionship
21 MarSouthampton2–0Oxford UnitedChampionship
14 MarOxford United1–1CharltonChampionship
11 MarOxford United1–0BlackburnChampionship
3Win20%
5Draw33%
7Lost47%
LAST MATCHESSheffield Wednesday
18 AprSheffield Wednesday1–1CharltonChampionship
06 AprSheffield Wednesday1–1LeicesterChampionship
03 AprStoke City2–0Sheffield WednesdayChampionship
21 MarHull City3–1Sheffield WednesdayChampionship
14 MarSheffield Wednesday0–2IpswichChampionship
10 MarSheffield Wednesday1–1WatfordChampionship
0Win0%
3Draw20%
12Lost80%
Lineups
ConfirmedOxford United4-2-3-1Confirmed
4Will VaulksDEF
3Ciaron BrownDEF
6Michal HelikDEF
15Brodie SpencerDEF
27Will LankshearFWD
1Jamie CummingGK
8Cameron BrannaganMID
24Hidde ter AvestMID
17Stanley MillsMID
33Jamie DonleyMID
10Aidomo EmakhuMID
Substitutes
37Christ MakossoDEF
2Sam LongDEF
9Mark HarrisFWD
11Ole RomenyFWD
21Matt IngramGK
38Jamie McDonnellMID
32Jin-woo JeonMID
5Yunus KonakMID
44Myles Peart-HarrisMID
Sheffield Wednesday3-4-3Confirmed
2Liam PalmerDEF
3Max LoweDEF
6Dominic IorfaDEF
17Charlie McNeillFWD
9Jamal LoweFWD
12Jerry YatesFWD
1Pierce CharlesGK
45Tayo AdaramolaMID
24Jaden HeskeyMID
14Nathaniel ChalobahMID
4Sean FusireMID
Substitutes
32Joe EmeryDEF
28Cole McGheeDEF
44Mackenzie MaltbyDEF
31William GraingerFWD
19Olaf KobackiFWD
40Devlan MosesFWD
13Murphy CooperGK
37Jarvis ThorntonMID
18Marvelous NakambaMID
Unavailable Players
12 playersOxford United4
B. De Keersmaecker
Missing FixtureShoulder Injury
G. Leigh
Missing FixtureCalf Injury
P. Placheta
Missing FixtureInjury
T. Goodrham
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
Sheffield Wednesday8
D. Bernard
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
G. Brown
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury
Guilherme Siqueira
Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury
I. Ugbo
QuestionableInactive
J. Ndala
QuestionableInactive
J. Thornton
QuestionableInjury
L. Cooper
Missing FixtureGroin Injury
S. Ingelsson
QuestionableInactive
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Oxford United Win1.46 (55.1%)
Value Bets
Draw4.42 (27.9%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.87 (46.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.91 (53.5%)
Both Teams Score2.03 (45.6%)
BTTS No1.73 (54.4%)
Speculative
Sheffield Wednesday Win6.34 (17.1%)
