OH Leuven vs Charleroi

OH Leuven
#6 · Jupiler Pro League
LLDLW
0 - 2
Den Dreef, Heverlee
Referee: A. Letellier

Charleroi
#5 · Jupiler Pro League
LWLLL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.63 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 55.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , OH Leuven will face Charleroi in the Jupiler Pro League at Den Dreef.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that OH Leuven has a 37.9% probability of winning this match. Charleroi has a 38.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Charleroi38.2%2.47
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.550.6%1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes55.7%1.63
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.99
16.8%
0-1
8.27
12.2%
1-2
8.54
11.8%
1-0
8.89
11.3%
2-1
9.11
11.1%
0-0
10.33
9.7%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.73 | Draw 3.27 | Away 2.47 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.84 | Under 1.94 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.24 | Under 3.74 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.04 | Under 1.35 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.63 | No 2.15 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.51 | 12 1.30 | X2 1.41 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.7%
Over 1.5 Goals75%
Over 2.5 Goals50.6%
Over 3.5 Goals30.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 29 | DWDWD | |
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 50 | 17 | 33 | 66 | DWWWW | |
| 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 29 | WLWWD | |
| 2 | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 63 | WLWWW | |
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 57 | WDLLL | |
| 3 | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 26 | LWLWD | |
| 5 | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 21 | DLWLL | |
| 6 | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 18 | LLDLW | |
| 14 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 31 | WWDWL | |
| 15 | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 31 | LLLDW | |
| 16 | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 19 | LLWLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonOH LeuvenCharleroi
0.94Goals p.g.1.27
1.44Goals conceded p.g.1.67
31%Clean sheets27%
25%Win rate27%
2.38Avg goals in match2.93
Recent Results
OH LeuvenLAST MATCHES
21 AprOH Leuven0–2KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
18 AprAntwerp2–0OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
12 AprGenk0–0OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
04 AprOH Leuven1–3Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
22 MarOH Leuven1–0AntwerpJupiler Pro League
14 MarCharleroi0–2OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
4Win25%
4Draw25%
8Lost50%
LAST MATCHESCharleroi
18 AprCharleroi1–2Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
10 AprCharleroi2–1AntwerpJupiler Pro League
05 AprKVC Westerlo2–0CharleroiJupiler Pro League
22 MarZulte Waregem1–0CharleroiJupiler Pro League
14 MarCharleroi0–2OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
07 MarDender2–2CharleroiJupiler Pro League
4Win27%
2Draw13%
9Lost60%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
OH Leuven
No reported absences
Charleroi
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.63 (55.7%)
Value Bets
OH Leuven Win2.73 (37.9%)
Charleroi Win2.47 (38.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.84 (50.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.94 (49.4%)
BTTS No2.15 (44.3%)
Speculative
Draw3.27 (24%)







