Nizhny Novgorod vs Spartak Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
#15 · Premier League
DDLLW
1 - 2
Sovcombank Arena, Nizhny Novgorod
Spartak Moscow
#5 · Premier League
WDWWW
★ OUR PICK
Spartak Moscow to Win
Solid away form and superior underlying numbers over Nizhny Novgorod make Spartak Moscow the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.59
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.54 for Spartak Moscow to Win. Our model calculates a 56.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Nizhny Novgorod will face Spartak Moscow in the Premier League at Sovcombank Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Nizhny Novgorod has a 23.2% probability of winning this match. Spartak Moscow has a 56.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.3%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Spartak Moscow are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Spartak Moscow sit 5th in the table, 10 places above their opponents
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
2 — Spartak Moscow56.5%1.54
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.552.1%1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes51.6%1.85
Based on avg. implied odds from 4 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes0-1
6.36
15.7%
0-2
6.82
14.7%
1-1
7.41
13.5%
1-2
7.48
13.4%
0-3
10.69
9.4%
1-3
11.85
8.4%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 5.91 | Draw 4.23 | Away 1.54 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.82 | Under 2.05 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.24 | Under 3.80 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.91 | Under 1.37 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.85 | No 1.86 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 2.48 | 12 1.23 | X2 1.13 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.1%
Over 1.5 Goals75.4%
Over 2.5 Goals52.1%
Over 3.5 Goals32%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zenit | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 45 | 17 | 28 | 56 | DWDWW |
| 2 |  FC Krasnodar | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 54 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Lokomotiv | 26 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 49 | DWDLW |
| 4 |  Baltika | 25 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 15 | 21 | 45 | DDDWW |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 45 | WDWWL |
| 6 |  CSKA Moscow | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 44 | DDLWW |
| 14 |  Krylia Sovetov | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 23 | LDDLD |
| 15 | Nizhny Novgorod | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 22 | LDDLL |
| 16 |  FC Sochi | 26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 18 | WWWLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonNizhny NovgorodSpartak Moscow
1.07Goals p.g.1.81
1.27Goals conceded p.g.1.25
20%Clean sheets31%
33%Win rate62%
2.33Avg goals in match3.06
Recent Results
Nizhny NovgorodLAST MATCHES
18 AprNizhny Novgorod1–1DynamoPremier League
11 AprBaltika2–2Nizhny NovgorodPremier League
05 AprNizhny Novgorod0–1FC RostovPremier League
21 MarFC Krasnodar5–0Nizhny NovgorodPremier League
15 MarNizhny Novgorod3–0Krylia SovetovPremier League
07 MarNizhny Novgorod2–1FC SochiPremier League
5Win33%
3Draw20%
5Lost33%
LAST MATCHESSpartak Moscow
19 AprSpartak Moscow3–1AkhmatPremier League
08 AprZenit0–0Spartak MoscowCup
05 AprSpartak Moscow2–1LokomotivPremier League
22 MarFC Orenburg0–2Spartak MoscowPremier League
18 MarSpartak Moscow1–0DynamoCup
14 MarZenit2–0Spartak MoscowPremier League
10Win63%
3Draw19%
3Lost19%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
4 playersNizhny Novgorod2
A. Ektov
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
J. Castillo
QuestionableInjury
Spartak Moscow2
S. Babic
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
V. Saus
QuestionableInjury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Spartak Moscow Win1.54 (56.5%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.82 (52.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.05 (47.9%)
Both Teams Score1.85 (51.6%)
BTTS No1.86 (48.4%)
Speculative
Nizhny Novgorod Win5.91 (23.2%)
Draw4.23 (20.3%)
