Napoli vs Cremonese
Napoli
#2 · Serie A
LWWWW
4 - 0
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples
Referee: D. Doveri
Cremonese
#17 · Serie A
DLWLL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
1.70
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.64 for Both Teams Not to Score. Our model calculates a 54.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Napoli will face Cremonese in the Serie A at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Napoli has a 68% probability of winning this match. Cremonese has a 13.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 18.8%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Napoli are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Napoli sit 2nd in the table, 15 places above their opponents
- Both teams average a combined 2.0 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
1 — Napoli68%1.37
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.550.5%1.92
Both Teams to Score
No54%1.64
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
5.64
17.8%
2-0
5.77
17.4%
2-1
7.84
12.8%
1-1
8.43
11.9%
3-0
8.46
11.9%
0-0
10.29
9.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.37 | Draw 4.72 | Away 8.83 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.89 | Under 1.92 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.28 | Under 3.54 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.21 | Under 1.33 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.18 | No 1.64 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.07 | 12 1.18 | X2 2.99 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.9%
Over 1.5 Goals73.5%
Over 2.5 Goals49.5%
Over 3.5 Goals29.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 33 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 78 | 29 | 49 | 78 | WWWDD |
| 2 | Napoli | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 69 | WLDWW |
| 3 |  AC Milan | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 | WLLWL |
| 4 |  Juventus | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 57 | 29 | 28 | 63 | WWWDW |
| 5 |  Como | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 58 | LLDWW |
| 6 |  AS Roma | 33 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 58 | DWLWL |
| 17 | Cremonese | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 28 | LDLLW |
| 18 |  Lecce | 33 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 28 | DLLLL |
| 19 |  Hellas Verona | 33 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 23 | 56 | -33 | 18 | LLLLL |
| 20 |  Pisa | 33 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 24 | 60 | -36 | 18 | LLLLW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonNapoliCremonese
1.43Goals p.g.0.57
1.43Goals conceded p.g.1.79
14%Clean sheets29%
50%Win rate7%
2.86Avg goals in match2.36
Recent Results
NapoliLAST MATCHES
18 AprNapoli0–2LazioSerie A
06 AprNapoli1–0AC MilanSerie A
20 MarCagliari0–1NapoliSerie A
14 MarNapoli2–1LecceSerie A
06 MarNapoli2–1TorinoSerie A
28 FebHellas Verona1–2NapoliSerie A
7Win50%
3Draw21%
4Lost29%
LAST MATCHESCremonese
19 AprCremonese0–0TorinoSerie A
05 AprCremonese1–2BolognaSerie A
21 MarParma0–2CremoneseSerie A
16 MarCremonese1–4FiorentinaSerie A
08 MarLecce2–1CremoneseSerie A
01 MarCremonese0–2AC MilanSerie A
1Win7%
4Draw29%
9Lost64%
Lineups
ConfirmedNapoli3-4-2-1Confirmed
13Amir RrahmaniDEF
17Mathías OliveraDEF
4Alessandro BuongiornoDEF
27Alisson SantosFWD
11Kevin De BruyneFWD
19Rasmus HøjlundFWD
32Vanja Milinković-SavićGK
21Matteo PolitanoMID
3Miguel GutiérrezMID
68Stanislav LobotkaMID
8Scott McTominayMID
Substitutes
5Juan JesusDEF
30Pasquale MazzocchiDEF
37Leonardo SpinazzolaDEF
31Sam BeukemaDEF
23GiovaneFWD
1Alex MeretGK
14Nikita ContiniGK
20Eljif ElmasMID
6Billy GilmourMID
99Frank AnguissaMID
Cremonese4-4-2Confirmed
24Filippo TerraccianoDEF
3Giuseppe PezzellaDEF
5Sebastiano LupertoDEF
6Federico BaschirottoDEF
90Federico BonazzoliFWD
77David OkerekeFWD
1Emil AuderoGK
29Youssef MalehMID
22Romano Floriani MussoliniMID
38Warren BondoMID
32Martín PayeroMID
Substitutes
4Tommaso BarbieriDEF
30Mikayil FayeDEF
55Francesco FolinoDEF
23Federico CeccheriniDEF
15Matteo BianchettiDEF
99Antonio SanabriaFWD
9Milan ĐurićFWD
7Alessio ZerbinFWD
69Lapo NavaGK
16Marco SilvestriGK
18Michele CollocoloMID
2Morten ThorsbyMID
33Alberto GrassiMID
27Jari VandeputteMID
Unavailable Players
8 playersNapoli4
A. Vergara
Missing FixtureFoot Injury
David Neres
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
G. Di Lorenzo
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
R. Lukaku
Missing FixtureHip Injury
Cremonese4
F. Moumbagna
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
J. Vardy
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
M. Collocolo
QuestionableInjury
M. Thorsby
Missing FixtureInjury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Napoli Win1.37 (68%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.89 (49.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.92 (50.5%)
Both Teams Score2.18 (46%)
BTTS No1.64 (54%)
Speculative
Draw4.72 (18.8%)
Cremonese Win8.83 (13.2%)
