Nõmme United vs Laagri

MeistriliigaRegular Season - 7
Nõmme United
#8 · Meistriliiga
LLDLW
1 - 2
Referee: J. Frischer
Laagri
#4 · Meistriliiga
WLWWL
43.1%
Home Win
20.8%
Draw
36.1%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Nõmme United to Win
Slight home form and superior underlying numbers over Laagri make Nõmme United the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.98
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.90 for Nõmme United to Win. Our model calculates a 43.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Nõmme United will face Laagri in the Meistriliiga.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Nõmme United has a 43.1% probability of winning this match. Laagri has a 36.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.8%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Laagri have won 3 of their last 5 games
  • Nõmme United average 2.5 goals per game
  • Laagri average 2.1 goals per game
  • With a combined average of 4.6 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.569.3%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes69.1%1.42
Based on avg. implied odds from 9 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
6.93
14.5%
2-1
7.83
13%
2-2
9.65
10.5%
1-2
10.04
10.2%
1-0
10.36
9.7%
2-0
11.04
9.2%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 1.90Draw 3.67Away 3.20
O/U 2.5Over 1.44Under 2.54
O/U 1.5Over 1.11Under 5.38
O/U 3.5Over 2.13Under 1.64
BTTSYes 1.42No 2.60
Double Chance1X 1.2812 1.22X2 1.74

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
94.5%
Over 1.5 Goals
82.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
69.3%
Over 3.5 Goals
43.5%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Meistriliiga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Kalju Nomme
86111841419
WLDWW
2
FC Levadia Tallinn
85301771018
WWDWD
3
Paide
8521169717
DWWWW
4
Laagri
84131312113
DWLLW
5
Flora Tallinn
84041411312
WLWWL
6
Kuressaare
8305915-69
LWWLL
8
Nõmme United
82151821-37
LLWLD
9
Vaprus
8215717-107
WDLLL
10
Trans Narva
8206919-106
LLLWL

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Nõmme UnitedLaagri
2.53Goals p.g.2.07
2.33Goals conceded p.g.1.27
13%Clean sheets27%
40%Win rate60%
4.87Avg goals in match3.33

Recent Results

Nõmme UnitedLAST MATCHES
18 AprNõmme United12LaagriMeistriliiga
08 AprPaide31Nõmme UnitedMeistriliiga
04 AprFC Levadia Tallinn11Nõmme UnitedMeistriliiga
21 MarNõmme United23TammekaMeistriliiga
14 MarNõmme United71VaprusMeistriliiga
10 MarFlora Tallinn31Nõmme UnitedCup
6Win40%
2Draw13%
7Lost47%
LAST MATCHESLaagri
18 AprNõmme United12LaagriMeistriliiga
08 AprLaagri02Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
04 AprVaprus02LaagriMeistriliiga
22 MarLaagri20Flora TallinnMeistriliiga
15 MarLaagri13FC Levadia TallinnMeistriliiga
07 MarTrans Narva12LaagriMeistriliiga
9Win60%
3Draw20%
3Lost20%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Nõmme United

No reported absences

Laagri

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.44 (69.3%)
Both Teams Score1.42 (69.1%)
Value Bets
Nõmme United Win1.90 (43.1%)
Laagri Win3.20 (36.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.54 (30.7%)
BTTS No2.60 (30.9%)
Speculative
Draw3.67 (20.8%)
Nõmme United vs Laagri Predictions, Stats, H2H - 18 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro