Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Wednesday
Middlesbrough
#5 · Championship
DDLDD
1 - 0
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Referee: D. Webb
Sheffield Wednesday
#24 · Championship
DDLLL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
1.91
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.84 for Both Teams Not to Score. Our model calculates a 52.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Middlesbrough will face Sheffield Wednesday in the Championship at Riverside Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Middlesbrough has a 77.2% probability of winning this match. Sheffield Wednesday has a 9.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 13.7%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Middlesbrough sit 5th in the table, 19 places above their opponents
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
1 — Middlesbrough77.2%1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.561.3%1.31
Both Teams to Score
No52.7%1.84
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes3-0
7.19
14%
2-0
7.22
13.9%
4-0
9.27
10.9%
2-1
9.40
10.7%
3-1
9.53
10.6%
1-0
10.05
10%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.15 | Draw 7.86 | Away 15.70 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.31 | Under 3.25 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.07 | Under 7.28 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 1.83 | Under 1.96 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.89 | No 1.84 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.02 | 12 1.07 | X2 5.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals95.2%
Over 1.5 Goals87.1%
Over 2.5 Goals61.3%
Over 3.5 Goals51.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry | 44 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 90 | 44 | 46 | 89 | WDDDW |
| 2 |  Millwall | 45 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 61 | 48 | 13 | 80 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Ipswich | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 79 | WDLWW |
| 4 |  Southampton | 44 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 77 | 53 | 24 | 76 | DWWWW |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 44 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 76 | WDLDL |
| 6 |  Wrexham | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 66 | 60 | 6 | 70 | WWLLD |
| 22 |  Oxford United | 44 | 10 | 14 | 20 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 | LLWDD |
| 23 |  Leicester | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 43 | DLLDD |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday | 44 | 1 | 12 | 31 | 26 | 84 | -58 | -3 | LDDDL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonMiddlesbroughSheffield Wednesday
1.6Goals p.g.0.53
1Goals conceded p.g.1.93
33%Clean sheets0%
40%Win rate0%
2.6Avg goals in match2.47
Recent Results
MiddlesbroughLAST MATCHES
19 AprIpswich2–2MiddlesbroughChampionship
06 AprSwansea2–2MiddlesbroughChampionship
03 AprMiddlesbrough1–2MillwallChampionship
21 MarBlackburn0–0MiddlesbroughChampionship
14 MarMiddlesbrough1–1Bristol CityChampionship
11 MarMiddlesbrough0–1CharltonChampionship
6Win40%
6Draw40%
3Lost20%
LAST MATCHESSheffield Wednesday
18 AprSheffield Wednesday1–1CharltonChampionship
06 AprSheffield Wednesday1–1LeicesterChampionship
03 AprStoke City2–0Sheffield WednesdayChampionship
21 MarHull City3–1Sheffield WednesdayChampionship
14 MarSheffield Wednesday0–2IpswichChampionship
10 MarSheffield Wednesday1–1WatfordChampionship
0Win0%
3Draw20%
12Lost80%
Lineups
ConfirmedMiddlesbrough3-4-2-1Confirmed
12Luke AylingDEF
29Adilson MalandaDEF
6Dael FryDEF
13David StrelecFWD
9Tommy ConwayFWD
16Alan BrowneFWD
31Solomon BrynnGK
2Callum BrittainMID
11Morgan WhittakerMID
3Matt TargettMID
18Aidan MorrisMID
Substitutes
25George EdmundsonDEF
24Alex BanguraDEF
20Mamadou Kaly SeneFWD
22Samuel SilveraFWD
27Sontje HansenFWD
44Cruz IbehFWD
32Joe WildsmithGK
23Leo CastledineMID
45Jeremy SarmientoMID
Sheffield Wednesday3-4-3Confirmed
3Max LoweDEF
2Liam PalmerDEF
22Gabriel OtegbayoDEF
12Jerry YatesFWD
37Jarvis ThorntonFWD
17Charlie McNeillFWD
13Murphy CooperGK
4Sean FusireMID
24Jaden HeskeyMID
18Marvelous NakambaMID
45Tayo AdaramolaMID
Substitutes
6Dominic IorfaDEF
28Cole McGheeDEF
9Jamal LoweFWD
40Devlan MosesFWD
31William GraingerFWD
19Olaf KobackiFWD
25Logan StretchGK
43Zain Silcott-DuberryMID
14Nathaniel ChalobahMID
Unavailable Players
12 playersMiddlesbrough5
A. Jones
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
D. Lenihan
Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury
H. Hackney
Missing FixtureCalf Injury
L. Castledine
Missing FixtureInactive
R. McGree
Missing FixtureInjury
Sheffield Wednesday7
D. Bernard
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
G. Brown
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury
Guilherme Siqueira
Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury
I. Ugbo
Missing FixtureInactive
J. Ndala
Missing FixtureInactive
L. Cooper
Missing FixtureGroin Injury
S. Ingelsson
Missing FixtureInactive
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Middlesbrough Win1.15 (77.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.31 (61.3%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals3.25 (38.7%)
Both Teams Score1.89 (47.3%)
BTTS No1.84 (52.7%)
Speculative
Draw7.86 (13.7%)
Sheffield Wednesday Win15.70 (9.2%)
