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Lommel United vs Liège

Jupiler Pro LeagueQuarter-finals
Lommel United
WLLWW
3 - 0
Soevereinstadion, Lommel
Referee: Wesli De Cremer, Belgium
Liège
LWWWL
51.3%
Home Win
22.2%
Draw
26.6%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.70
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.66 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 56.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Lommel United will face Liège in the Jupiler Pro League at Soevereinstadion.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Lommel United has a 51.3% probability of winning this match. Liège has a 26.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.2%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Lommel United have won 3 of their last 5 games
  • Liège have won 3 of their last 5 games

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — Lommel United51.3%1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.554.6%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes56.4%1.66
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
6.35
15.8%
1-0
7.23
13.9%
2-1
7.28
13.8%
2-0
8.50
11.9%
0-0
10.64
9.6%
0-1
11.26
9%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 1.80Draw 3.54Away 3.90
O/U 2.5Over 1.73Under 2.02
O/U 1.5Over 1.22Under 3.84
O/U 3.5Over 2.77Under 1.38
BTTSYes 1.66No 2.07
Double Chance1X 1.1912 1.23X2 1.91

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.8%
Over 1.5 Goals
75.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
54.6%
Over 3.5 Goals
33.3%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Jupiler Pro League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Genk
341311105150129
DWDWD
1
Union St. Gilloise
30199250173366
DWWWW
2
KVC Westerlo
34139124343029
WLWWD
2
Club Brugge KV
30203759362363
WLWWW
3
St. Truiden
30183947351257
WDLLL
3
Standard Liege
34137143441-726
LWLWD
14
Cercle Brugge
30710133947-831
WWDWL
15
RAAL La Louvière
30613113037-731
LLLDW
16
Dender
30310172451-2719
LLWLL

Key Statistics

2025 Season
Lommel UnitedLiège
1.64Goals p.g.1.18
1.27Goals conceded p.g.1.73
18%Clean sheets9%
45%Win rate45%
2.91Avg goals in match2.91

Recent Results

Lommel UnitedLAST MATCHES
23 AprLommel United3–0LiègeJupiler Pro League
17 AprBeerschot VA2–1Lommel UnitedChallenger Pro League
11 AprLommel United0–1Club Brugge IIChallenger Pro League
04 AprLommel United3–2RWDMChallenger Pro League
15 MarLommel United3–1Francs BorainsChallenger Pro League
11 MarKAA Gent II2–2Lommel UnitedChallenger Pro League
5Win45%
2Draw18%
4Lost36%
LAST MATCHESLiège
23 AprLommel United3–0LiègeJupiler Pro League
17 AprLiège2–1AS EupenChallenger Pro League
12 AprKAA Gent II0–2LiègeChallenger Pro League
05 AprLiège2–1Olympic CharleroiChallenger Pro League
21 MarSK Beveren4–0LiègeChallenger Pro League
14 MarLiège0–1Beerschot VAChallenger Pro League
5Win45%
1Draw9%
5Lost45%

Lineups

Confirmed

Lommel United4-4-2Confirmed

79Sam De GrandDEF
13Jhon BangueraDEF
14Jesper TolinssonDEF
9Jason van DuivenDEF
15Lucas SchoofsFWD
30Ralf SeuntjensFWD
23Matthias PieklakGK
10Tom ReynersMID
6Joey PelupessyMID
5Dries WoutersMID
18Lautaro LópezMID
Substitutes
65Emile VandecraenDEF
34Henry OwareDEF
3Timothy EyomaDEF
73Alexander ReumersFWD
98Mohamed Salah El BoukammiriFWD
11Robin van DuivenFWD
1Nikola IvezićGK
93Zalán VancsaMID
8Nicolas RommensMID

Liège4-4-2Confirmed

4Jordan BustinDEF
5Pierre-Yves NgawaDEF
2Martin WasinskiDEF
13Damien MouchampsDEF
25Jonathan D'OstilioFWD
16Eric N'joFWD
1Alexis Andre Jr.GK
15Abian ArslanMID
28Reno WilmotsMID
24Alexis De SartMID
7Benoit BruggemanMID
Substitutes
27Victor CorneillieDEF
10Kylian HazardFWD
9Emrehan GedikliFWD
12Jordi BelinGK
23Stephen ReynaertsMID
8Kays Ruiz-AtilMID
26Loris PirotteMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Lommel United

No reported absences

Liège

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Both Teams Score1.66 (56.4%)
●Value Bets
Lommel United Win1.80 (51.3%)
Liège Win3.90 (26.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.73 (54.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.02 (45.4%)
BTTS No2.07 (43.6%)
●Speculative
Draw3.54 (22.2%)
Lommel United vs Liège Predictions, Stats, H2H - 23 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro