Lokomotiv vs Zenit
Lokomotiv
#3 · Premier League
WLWDL
0 - 0
RZD Arena, Moscow
Referee: A. Sukhoy
Zenit
#1 · Premier League
DWDWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.76
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.76 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 54.8% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Lokomotiv will face Zenit in the Premier League at RZD Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Lokomotiv has a 35.5% probability of winning this match. Zenit has a 41% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.5%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Zenit have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Zenit are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Lokomotiv average 2.1 goals per game
- Zenit have a solid defence with 0.6 goals conceded per game
- Zenit have kept clean sheets in 61% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Zenit41%2.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.550.4%2.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes54.8%1.76
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 4 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.00
16.7%
0-1
6.85
14.6%
1-2
8.36
12%
0-0
9.02
11.1%
1-0
9.09
11%
0-2
9.61
10.4%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.39 | Draw 3.42 | Away 2.18 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.04 | Under 1.85 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.30 | Under 3.32 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.44 | Under 1.29 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.76 | No 1.96 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.74 | 12 1.31 | X2 1.31 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89.9%
Over 1.5 Goals71.8%
Over 2.5 Goals50.4%
Over 3.5 Goals27.2%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 45 | 17 | 28 | 56 | DWDWW |
| 2 |  FC Krasnodar | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 54 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Lokomotiv | 26 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 49 | DWDLW |
| 4 |  Baltika | 25 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 15 | 21 | 45 | DDDWW |
| 5 |  Spartak Moscow | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 45 | WDWWL |
| 6 |  CSKA Moscow | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 44 | DDLWW |
| 14 |  Krylia Sovetov | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 23 | LDDLD |
| 15 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 22 | LDDLL |
| 16 |  FC Sochi | 26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 18 | WWWLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonLokomotivZenit
2.13Goals p.g.1.67
1.33Goals conceded p.g.0.61
27%Clean sheets61%
60%Win rate72%
3.47Avg goals in match2.28
Recent Results
LokomotivLAST MATCHES
18 AprFC Orenburg0–1LokomotivPremier League
05 AprSpartak Moscow2–1LokomotivPremier League
22 MarLokomotiv5–1AkronPremier League
19 MarKrylia Sovetov2–2LokomotivCup
15 MarRubin3–0LokomotivPremier League
09 MarLokomotiv2–2AkhmatPremier League
9Win60%
3Draw20%
3Lost20%
LAST MATCHESZenit
22 AprLokomotiv0–0ZenitPremier League
19 AprDinamo Makhachkala0–1ZenitPremier League
08 AprZenit0–0Spartak MoscowCup
04 AprZenit2–1Krylia SovetovPremier League
28 MarZenit2–0Kairat AlmatyFriendlies Clubs
22 MarDynamo1–3ZenitPremier League
13Win72%
3Draw17%
2Lost11%
Lineups
ConfirmedLokomotiv4-2-3-1Confirmed
23César MontesDEF
45Aleksandr SilyanovDEF
3Lucas FassonDEF
85Evgeniy MorozovDEF
10Dmitriy VorobyevFWD
1Anton MitryushkinGK
7Zelimkhan BakaevMID
93Artem KarpukasMID
25Danil PrutsevMID
19Aleksandr RudenkoMID
83Aleksey BatrakovMID
Substitutes
24Maksim NenakhovDEF
59Egor PogostnovDEF
5Gerzino NyamsiDEF
74Daniil ChevardinDEF
27Nikolay KomlichenkoFWD
22Ilya LantratovGK
14Nikita SaltykovMID
32Lucas VeraMID
90Danila GodyaevMID
9Sergey PinyaevMID
8Vladislav SarveliMID
94Artem TimofeevMID
Zenit4-2-3-1Confirmed
3Douglas SantosDEF
78Igor DiveevDEF
6Vanja DrkušićDEF
33NinoDEF
7Aleksandr SobolevFWD
16Denis AdamovGK
5Wilmar BarriosMID
8WendelMID
11Luiz HenriqueMID
10Maksim GlushenkovMID
20PedroMID
Substitutes
4Yuri GorshkovDEF
23Arsen AdamovDEF
66Román VegaDEF
28Nuraly AlipDEF
15Vyacheslav KaravaevDEF
9Jhon DuránFWD
57Bogdan MoskvichevGK
1Evgeny LatyshonokGK
61Daniil KondakovMID
14Jhon JhonMID
21Aleksandr ErokhinMID
17Andrey MostovoyMID
Unavailable Players
3 playersLokomotiv1
S. Pinyaev
QuestionableMuscle Injury
Zenit2
Gustavo Mantuan
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
V. Shilov
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Lokomotiv Win3.39 (35.5%)
Zenit Win2.18 (41%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.04 (50.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.85 (49.6%)
Both Teams Score1.76 (54.8%)
BTTS No1.96 (45.2%)
Speculative
Draw3.42 (23.5%)
