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Liège vs Lommel United

Jupiler Pro LeagueQuarter-finals
Liège
LWWWL
1 - 2
Stade de Rocourt
Referee: W. Smet
Lommel United
WLLWW
36.8%
Home Win
22%
Draw
41.2%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.56 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 58.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Liège will face Lommel United in the Jupiler Pro League at Stade de Rocourt.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Liège has a 36.8% probability of winning this match. Lommel United has a 41.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Liège have won 3 of their last 5 games
  • Lommel United have won 3 of their last 5 games

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
2 — Lommel United41.2%2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.556.3%1.66
Both Teams to Score
Yes58.7%1.56
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 6 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
6.45
15.6%
1-2
7.75
13.1%
0-1
8.55
11.8%
2-1
9.70
10.4%
1-0
10.30
9.8%
0-2
10.50
9.6%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 3.03Draw 3.58Away 2.10
O/U 2.5Over 1.66Under 2.17
O/U 1.5Over 1.21Under 4.24
O/U 3.5Over 2.62Under 1.47
BTTSYes 1.56No 2.28
Double Chance1X 1.6812 1.25X2 1.35

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
91.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
77.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
56.3%
Over 3.5 Goals
35.8%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Jupiler Pro League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Genk
341311105150129
DWDWD
1
Union St. Gilloise
30199250173366
DWWWW
2
KVC Westerlo
34139124343029
WLWWD
2
Club Brugge KV
30203759362363
WLWWW
3
St. Truiden
30183947351257
WDLLL
3
Standard Liege
34137143441-726
LWLWD
14
Cercle Brugge
30710133947-831
WWDWL
15
RAAL La Louvière
30613113037-731
LLLDW
16
Dender
30310172451-2719
LLWLL

Key Statistics

2025 Season
LiègeLommel United
1.18Goals p.g.1.64
1.73Goals conceded p.g.1.27
9%Clean sheets18%
45%Win rate45%
2.91Avg goals in match2.91

Recent Results

LiègeLAST MATCHES
23 AprLommel United3–0LiègeJupiler Pro League
17 AprLiège2–1AS EupenChallenger Pro League
12 AprKAA Gent II0–2LiègeChallenger Pro League
05 AprLiège2–1Olympic CharleroiChallenger Pro League
21 MarSK Beveren4–0LiègeChallenger Pro League
14 MarLiège0–1Beerschot VAChallenger Pro League
5Win45%
1Draw9%
5Lost45%
LAST MATCHESLommel United
23 AprLommel United3–0LiègeJupiler Pro League
17 AprBeerschot VA2–1Lommel UnitedChallenger Pro League
11 AprLommel United0–1Club Brugge IIChallenger Pro League
04 AprLommel United3–2RWDMChallenger Pro League
15 MarLommel United3–1Francs BorainsChallenger Pro League
11 MarKAA Gent II2–2Lommel UnitedChallenger Pro League
5Win45%
2Draw18%
4Lost36%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Liège

No reported absences

Lommel United

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.66 (56.3%)
Both Teams Score1.56 (58.7%)
●Value Bets
Liège Win3.03 (36.8%)
Lommel United Win2.10 (41.2%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.17 (43.7%)
BTTS No2.28 (41.3%)
●Speculative
Draw3.58 (22%)
Liège vs Lommel United Predictions, Stats, H2H - 27 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro