Lazio vs Udinese

Serie ARegular Season - 34

Lazio

#9 · Serie A

DWLDW

3 - 3

Stadio Olimpico, Rome

Referee: K. Bonacina

Udinese

#11 · Serie A

LWDWL

47.3%

Home Win

24.7%

Draw

28%

Away Win

★ OUR PICK

Under 2.5 Goals

Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.

Totals

1.71

BEST ODDS

Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.67 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 59.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.

Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Lazio will face Udinese in the Serie A at Stadio Olimpico.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Lazio has a 47.3% probability of winning this match. Udinese has a 28% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24.7%.

Match Preview

Predictions

Closely matched

Match Result

1 — Lazio47.3%2.00

Over / Under 2.5

Under 2.559%1.67

✓ OUR PICK

Both Teams to Score

No53.2%1.81

Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes

1-1

5.98

16.8%

1-0

6.02

16.6%

0-0

7.80

12.9%

2-1

8.26

12.2%

2-0

8.55

11.7%

0-1

9.08

11%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds

Market	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3
1X2	Home 2.00	Draw 3.25	Away 3.94
O/U 2.5	Over 2.22	Under 1.67
O/U 1.5	Over 1.39	Under 2.90
O/U 3.5	Over 4.04	Under 1.22
BTTS	Yes 1.93	No 1.81
Double Chance	1X 1.24	12 1.32	X2 1.79

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds

Over 0.5 Goals

88.1%

Over 1.5 Goals

67.6%

Over 2.5 Goals

41%

Over 3.5 Goals

23.2%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Inter	33	25	3	5	78	29	49	78	WWWDD
2	Napoli	34	21	6	7	52	33	19	69	WLDWW
3	AC Milan	33	19	9	5	48	27	21	66	WLLWL
4	Juventus	33	18	9	6	57	29	28	63	WWWDW
5	Como	33	16	10	7	57	28	29	58	LLDWW
6	AS Roma	33	18	4	11	46	29	17	58	DWLWL
9	Lazio	33	12	11	10	34	30	4	47	WLDWW
11	Udinese	33	12	7	14	38	43	-5	43	LWDWL
18	Lecce	33	7	7	19	22	46	-24	28	DLLLL
19	Hellas Verona	33	3	9	21	23	56	-33	18	LLLLL
20	Pisa	33	2	12	19	24	60	-36	18	LLLLW

Key Statistics

2025 Season

LazioUdinese

1.06Goals p.g.1.33

1.12Goals conceded p.g.0.93

31%Clean sheets33%

31%Win rate40%

2.19Avg goals in match2.27

Recent Results

LazioLAST MATCHES

22 AprAtalanta1–1LazioCoppa Italia

18 AprNapoli0–2LazioSerie A

13 AprFiorentina1–0LazioSerie A

04 AprLazio1–1ParmaSerie A

22 MarBologna0–2LazioSerie A

15 MarLazio1–0AC MilanSerie A

5Win31%

7Draw44%

4Lost25%

LAST MATCHESUdinese

18 AprUdinese0–1ParmaSerie A

11 AprAC Milan0–3UdineseSerie A

06 AprUdinese0–0ComoSerie A

20 MarGenoa0–2UdineseSerie A

14 MarUdinese0–1JuventusSerie A

07 MarAtalanta2–2UdineseSerie A

6Win40%

3Draw20%

6Lost40%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

10 players

Lazio4

✕I. Provedel

Missing FixtureShoulder Injury

✕M. Gila

QuestionableInjury

✕N. Rovella

Missing FixtureBroken collarbone

✕S. Gigot

Missing FixtureAnkle Injury

Udinese6

✕A. Zanoli

Missing FixtureKnee Injury

✕J. Karlstrom

Missing FixtureYellow Cards

✕J. Zemura

Missing FixtureMuscle Injury

✕K. Davis

Missing FixtureThigh Injury

✕N. Bertola

Missing FixtureThigh Injury

✕T. Kristensen

QuestionableInjury

Betting Strategy

●High Probability

Under 2.5 Goals1.67 (59%)

●Value Bets

Lazio Win2.00 (47.3%)

Udinese Win3.94 (28%)

Over 2.5 Goals2.22 (41%)

Both Teams Score1.93 (46.8%)

BTTS No1.81 (53.2%)

●Speculative

Draw3.25 (24.7%)