Laagri vs Tammeka
Laagri
#4 · Meistriliiga
WLWWL
1 - 0
Laagri kunstmurustaadion, Laagri
Referee: R. Maalinn
Tammeka
#7 · Meistriliiga
LDLLW
★ OUR PICK
Laagri to Win
Slight home form and superior underlying numbers over Tammeka make Laagri the value pick here.
Moneyline
2.28
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 2.23 (implied 44.8%) for Laagri to Win. Our model calculates a 49.6% probability, which translates to fair odds of 2.02. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Laagri will face Tammeka in the Meistriliiga at Laagri kunstmurustaadion.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Laagri has a 49.6% probability of winning this match. Tammeka has a 28.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.6%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Laagri have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Laagri average 2.1 goals per game
- With a combined average of 3.6 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Laagri49.6%2.23
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.563.4%1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes64.7%1.42
Based on avg. implied odds from 6 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.66
15.1%
2-1
8.02
12.7%
1-2
8.68
11.7%
2-2
9.14
11.1%
1-0
10.35
9.7%
0-1
11.30
8.9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.23 | Draw 3.56 | Away 2.64 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.46 | Under 2.46 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.12 | Under 5.16 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.19 | Under 1.60 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.42 | No 2.64 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.39 | 12 1.22 | X2 1.53 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals94.1%
Over 1.5 Goals82%
Over 2.5 Goals63.4%
Over 3.5 Goals42.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kalju Nomme | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 19 | WLDWW |
| 2 |  FC Levadia Tallinn | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 | WWDWD |
| 3 |  Paide | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 17 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Laagri | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 | DWLLW |
| 5 |  Flora Tallinn | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 | WLWWL |
| 6 |  Kuressaare | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 9 | LWWLL |
| 7 | Tammeka | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 7 | LDLLW |
| 8 |  Nõmme United | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 7 | LLWLD |
| 9 |  Vaprus | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 | WDLLL |
| 10 |  Trans Narva | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 6 | LLLWL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonLaagriTammeka
2.07Goals p.g.1.53
1.27Goals conceded p.g.1.76
27%Clean sheets24%
60%Win rate35%
3.33Avg goals in match3.29
Recent Results
LaagriLAST MATCHES
18 AprNõmme United1–2LaagriMeistriliiga
08 AprLaagri0–2Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
04 AprVaprus0–2LaagriMeistriliiga
22 MarLaagri2–0Flora TallinnMeistriliiga
15 MarLaagri1–3FC Levadia TallinnMeistriliiga
07 MarTrans Narva1–2LaagriMeistriliiga
9Win60%
3Draw20%
3Lost20%
LAST MATCHESTammeka
22 AprTammeka1–2FC Levadia TallinnMeistriliiga
18 AprVaprus0–0TammekaMeistriliiga
12 AprTammeka1–4PaideMeistriliiga
07 AprTrans Narva3–0TammekaMeistriliiga
03 AprTammeka3–1Flora TallinnMeistriliiga
21 MarNõmme United2–3TammekaMeistriliiga
6Win35%
2Draw12%
9Lost53%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersLaagri
No reported absences
Tammeka
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.46 (63.4%)
Both Teams Score1.42 (64.7%)
Value Bets
Laagri Win2.23 (49.6%)
Tammeka Win2.64 (28.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.46 (36.6%)
BTTS No2.64 (35.3%)
Speculative
Draw3.56 (21.6%)