Laagri vs Paide
Laagri
#4 · Meistriliiga
WLWWL
2 - 2
Laagri kunstmurustaadion, Laagri
Referee: J. Lorenz
Paide
#3 · Meistriliiga
WWWDW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.54 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 61.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Laagri will face Paide in the Meistriliiga at Laagri kunstmurustaadion.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Laagri has a 31.5% probability of winning this match. Paide has a 47.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.8%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Laagri have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Paide are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Laagri average 2.1 goals per game
- Paide average 2.1 goals per game
- With a combined average of 4.1 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Paide47.7%1.64
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.561.6%1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes61.7%1.54
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.15
14.1%
1-2
7.18
14%
0-1
8.12
12.4%
0-2
8.52
11.8%
1-3
10.48
9.7%
2-2
11.25
9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 4.17 | Draw 3.75 | Away 1.64 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.52 | Under 2.27 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.14 | Under 4.47 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.30 | Under 1.51 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.54 | No 2.23 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 2.06 | 12 1.19 | X2 1.16 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.7%
Over 1.5 Goals79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals61.6%
Over 3.5 Goals39.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kalju Nomme | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 19 | WLDWW |
| 2 |  FC Levadia Tallinn | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 | WWDWD |
| 3 | Paide | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 17 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Laagri | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 | DWLLW |
| 5 |  Flora Tallinn | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 | WLWWL |
| 6 |  Kuressaare | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 9 | LWWLL |
| 8 |  Nõmme United | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 7 | LLWLD |
| 9 |  Vaprus | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 | WDLLL |
| 10 |  Trans Narva | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 6 | LLLWL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonLaagriPaide
2.07Goals p.g.2.07
1.27Goals conceded p.g.1.2
27%Clean sheets33%
60%Win rate60%
3.33Avg goals in match3.27
Recent Results
LaagriLAST MATCHES
18 AprNõmme United1–2LaagriMeistriliiga
08 AprLaagri0–2Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
04 AprVaprus0–2LaagriMeistriliiga
22 MarLaagri2–0Flora TallinnMeistriliiga
15 MarLaagri1–3FC Levadia TallinnMeistriliiga
07 MarTrans Narva1–2LaagriMeistriliiga
9Win60%
3Draw20%
3Lost20%
LAST MATCHESPaide
19 AprPaide1–0Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
08 AprPaide3–1Nõmme UnitedMeistriliiga
03 AprKuressaare0–1PaideMeistriliiga
22 MarFC Levadia Tallinn2–2PaideMeistriliiga
15 MarPaide1–0Trans NarvaMeistriliiga
11 MarPaide6–0Tallinna KalevCup
9Win60%
3Draw20%
3Lost20%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersLaagri
No reported absences
Paide
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.52 (61.6%)
Both Teams Score1.54 (61.7%)
Value Bets
Laagri Win4.17 (31.5%)
Paide Win1.64 (47.7%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.27 (38.4%)
BTTS No2.23 (38.3%)
Speculative
Draw3.75 (20.8%)
