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KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden

Jupiler Pro LeagueChampionship Group - 35
KV Mechelen
#5 · Jupiler Pro League
LDLWL
1 - 4
Achter de Kazerne, Mechelen
Referee: L. Visser
St. Truiden
#3 · Jupiler Pro League
DLLLL
38.4%
Home Win
22.6%
Draw
39%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.55 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 57.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , KV Mechelen will face St. Truiden in the Jupiler Pro League at Achter de Kazerne.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that KV Mechelen has a 38.4% probability of winning this match. St. Truiden has a 39% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.6%.

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
2 — St. Truiden39%2.13
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.553.5%1.66
Both Teams to Score
Yes57.1%1.55
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
6.52
15.4%
1-2
7.96
12.7%
0-1
8.66
11.7%
2-1
9.76
10.4%
1-0
10.73
9.4%
0-2
10.86
9.3%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 3.08Draw 3.55Away 2.13
O/U 2.5Over 1.66Under 2.17
O/U 1.5Over 1.20Under 4.26
O/U 3.5Over 2.63Under 1.45
BTTSYes 1.55No 2.30
Double Chance1X 1.6712 1.26X2 1.34

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
Over 1.5 Goals
78.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
53.5%
Over 3.5 Goals
35.5%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Jupiler Pro League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Genk
341311105150129
DWDWD
1
Union St. Gilloise
30199250173366
DWWWW
2
KVC Westerlo
34139124343029
WLWWD
2
Club Brugge KV
30203759362363
WLWWW
3
St. Truiden
30183947351257
WDLLL
3
Standard Liege
34137143441-726
LWLWD
5
KV Mechelen
3012993937245
LLLDL
14
Cercle Brugge
30710133947-831
WWDWL
15
RAAL La Louvière
30613113037-731
LLLDW
16
Dender
30310172451-2719
LLWLL

Key Statistics

2025 Season
KV MechelenSt. Truiden
1.36Goals p.g.1.4
1.43Goals conceded p.g.1.07
21%Clean sheets27%
36%Win rate53%
2.79Avg goals in match2.47

Recent Results

KV MechelenLAST MATCHES
18 AprKV Mechelen1–2AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
06 AprGent1–1KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
22 MarClub Brugge KV4–1KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
15 MarKV Mechelen1–0AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
08 MarGent3–1KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
28 FebKV Mechelen2–1Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
5Win36%
4Draw29%
5Lost36%
LAST MATCHESSt. Truiden
19 AprGent0–0St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
11 AprSt. Truiden1–2Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
04 AprUnion St. Gilloise1–0St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
22 MarSt. Truiden1–3Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
15 MarGenk1–0St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
08 MarSt. Truiden2–1Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
8Win53%
1Draw7%
6Lost40%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

KV Mechelen

No reported absences

St. Truiden

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Both Teams Score1.55 (57.1%)
●Value Bets
KV Mechelen Win3.08 (38.4%)
St. Truiden Win2.13 (39%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.66 (53.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.17 (46.5%)
BTTS No2.30 (42.9%)
●Speculative
Draw3.55 (22.6%)
KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden Predictions, Stats, H2H - 26 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro