KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
#5 · Jupiler Pro League
LDLWL
1 - 2
Achter de Kazerne, Mechelen
Referee: E. Lambrechts
Anderlecht
#6 · Jupiler Pro League
WLLLD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.61 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 58.9% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , KV Mechelen will face Anderlecht in the Jupiler Pro League at Achter de Kazerne.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that KV Mechelen has a 39.3% probability of winning this match. Anderlecht has a 37.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.2%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — KV Mechelen39.3%2.69
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.555.1%1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes58.9%1.61
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.03
16.6%
1-2
8.58
11.8%
0-1
8.60
11.7%
2-1
9.02
11.2%
1-0
9.03
11.1%
0-0
10.23
9.9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.69 | Draw 3.38 | Away 2.47 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.79 | Under 2.00 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.24 | Under 3.80 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.93 | Under 1.37 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.61 | No 2.18 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.50 | 12 1.29 | X2 1.45 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.9%
Over 1.5 Goals75.4%
Over 2.5 Goals55.1%
Over 3.5 Goals31.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Genk | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 29 | DWDWD |
| 1 |  Union St. Gilloise | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 50 | 17 | 33 | 66 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  KVC Westerlo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 29 | WLWWD |
| 2 |  Club Brugge KV | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 63 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  St. Truiden | 30 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 57 | WDLLL |
| 3 |  Standard Liege | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 26 | LWLWD |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 45 | LLLDL |
| 6 | Anderlecht | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 44 | LWWLL |
| 14 |  Cercle Brugge | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 31 | WWDWL |
| 15 |  RAAL La Louvière | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 31 | LLLDW |
| 16 |  Dender | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 19 | LLWLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonKV MechelenAnderlecht
1.36Goals p.g.1.64
1.43Goals conceded p.g.1.64
21%Clean sheets21%
36%Win rate29%
2.79Avg goals in match3.29
Recent Results
KV MechelenLAST MATCHES
18 AprKV Mechelen1–2AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
06 AprGent1–1KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
22 MarClub Brugge KV4–1KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
15 MarKV Mechelen1–0AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
08 MarGent3–1KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
28 FebKV Mechelen2–1Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
5Win36%
4Draw29%
5Lost36%
LAST MATCHESAnderlecht
18 AprKV Mechelen1–2AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
06 AprClub Brugge KV4–2AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
22 MarAnderlecht2–3Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
15 MarKV Mechelen1–0AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
08 MarClub Brugge KV2–2AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
28 FebAnderlecht5–1OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
4Win29%
3Draw21%
7Lost50%
Lineups
ConfirmedKV Mechelen3-4-1-2Confirmed
3José MarsàDEF
33Tommy St. JagoDEF
2Redouane HalhalDEF
9Myron Van BrederodeFWD
14Benito RamanFWD
28Bouke BoersmaFWD
13Nacho MirasGK
7Thérence KoudouMID
19Kerim MrabtiMID
17Mathis ServaisMID
6Fredrik HammarMID
Substitutes
4Gora DioufDEF
38Bill AntonioFWD
27Keano VanrafelghemFWD
12Hassane BandéFWD
1Ortwin De WolfGK
39Massimo DecoeneMID
11Bilal BafdiliMID
10Maxim KireevMID
8Mory KonateMID
Anderlecht4-2-3-1Confirmed
55Marco KanaDEF
6Ludwig AugustinssonDEF
93Moussa DiarraDEF
79Ali MaamarDEF
83Tristan DegreefFWD
26Colin CoosemansGK
13Nathan-Dylan SalibaMID
11Thorgan HazardMID
24Enric LlansanaMID
77Coba da CostaMID
29Mario StroeykensMID
Substitutes
54Killian SardellaDEF
7Ilay CamaraDEF
3Lucas HeyDEF
91Adriano BertacciniFWD
9Mihajlo CvetkovićFWD
32Justin HeekerenGK
61Joshua Nga KanaMID
10Yari VerschaerenMID
23Mats RitsMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersKV Mechelen
No reported absences
Anderlecht
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.79 (55.1%)
Both Teams Score1.61 (58.9%)
Value Bets
KV Mechelen Win2.69 (39.3%)
Anderlecht Win2.47 (37.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.00 (44.9%)
BTTS No2.18 (41.1%)
Speculative
Draw3.38 (23.2%)
