Kuressaare vs Vaprus
Kuressaare
#6 · Meistriliiga
LWWLL
0 - 1
Kuressaare Linnastaadion, Kuressaare
Vaprus
#9 · Meistriliiga
WDLLL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.54 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 63.8% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Kuressaare will face Vaprus in the Meistriliiga at Kuressaare Linnastaadion.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Kuressaare has a 43.9% probability of winning this match. Vaprus has a 33.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.3%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Kuressaare43.9%2.26
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.561.7%1.66
Both Teams to Score
Yes63.8%1.54
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.01
16.7%
2-1
8.12
12.4%
1-0
8.70
11.6%
1-2
8.85
11.4%
0-1
9.44
10.7%
2-2
10.53
9.7%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.26 | Draw 3.36 | Away 2.68 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.66 | Under 2.05 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.19 | Under 3.95 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.65 | Under 1.39 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.54 | No 2.23 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.37 | 12 1.24 | X2 1.53 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.4%
Over 1.5 Goals76.7%
Over 2.5 Goals61.7%
Over 3.5 Goals34.6%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kalju Nomme | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 19 | WLDWW |
| 2 |  FC Levadia Tallinn | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 | WWDWD |
| 3 |  Paide | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 17 | DWWWW |
| 4 |  Laagri | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 | DWLLW |
| 5 |  Flora Tallinn | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 | WLWWL |
| 6 | Kuressaare | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 9 | LWWLL |
| 8 |  Nõmme United | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 7 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Vaprus | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 | WDLLL |
| 10 |  Trans Narva | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 6 | LLLWL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonKuressaareVaprus
1.41Goals p.g.1.75
2.12Goals conceded p.g.2.12
18%Clean sheets19%
35%Win rate31%
3.53Avg goals in match3.88
Recent Results
KuressaareLAST MATCHES
21 AprKuressaare0–1VaprusMeistriliiga
18 AprTrans Narva1–2KuressaareMeistriliiga
11 AprKuressaare3–2LaagriMeistriliiga
07 AprFlora Tallinn2–1KuressaareMeistriliiga
03 AprKuressaare0–1PaideMeistriliiga
21 MarKalju Nomme4–0KuressaareMeistriliiga
6Win35%
2Draw12%
9Lost53%
LAST MATCHESVaprus
21 AprKuressaare0–1VaprusMeistriliiga
18 AprVaprus0–0TammekaMeistriliiga
08 AprFC Levadia Tallinn2–1VaprusMeistriliiga
04 AprVaprus0–2LaagriMeistriliiga
21 MarTrans Narva2–1VaprusMeistriliiga
14 MarNõmme United7–1VaprusMeistriliiga
5Win31%
2Draw13%
9Lost56%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersKuressaare
No reported absences
Vaprus
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.66 (61.7%)
Both Teams Score1.54 (63.8%)
Value Bets
Kuressaare Win2.26 (43.9%)
Vaprus Win2.68 (33.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.05 (38.3%)
BTTS No2.23 (36.2%)
Speculative
Draw3.36 (22.3%)
