Krylia Sovetov vs Lokomotiv
Krylia Sovetov
#14 · Premier League
LDLLD
2 - 0
Samara Arena, Samara
Referee: K. Levnikov
Lokomotiv
#3 · Premier League
WLWDL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.62 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 59.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Krylia Sovetov will face Lokomotiv in the Premier League at Samara Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Krylia Sovetov has a 27.2% probability of winning this match. Lokomotiv has a 50.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.1%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Lokomotiv sit 3rd in the table, 11 places above their opponents
- Lokomotiv average 2.1 goals per game
- With a combined average of 3.5 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Lokomotiv50.7%1.93
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.558.1%1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes59.6%1.62
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 4 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.52
15.4%
0-1
7.77
12.9%
1-2
7.81
12.8%
0-2
9.35
10.7%
1-0
11.94
8.4%
2-1
12.10
8.3%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.94 | Draw 3.65 | Away 1.93 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.76 | Under 2.15 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.21 | Under 4.21 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.75 | Under 1.42 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.62 | No 2.17 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.94 | 12 1.28 | X2 1.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.9%
Over 1.5 Goals77.7%
Over 2.5 Goals58.1%
Over 3.5 Goals34.1%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zenit | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 45 | 17 | 28 | 56 | DWDWW |
| 2 |  FC Krasnodar | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 54 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Lokomotiv | 26 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 49 | DWDLW |
| 4 |  Baltika | 25 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 15 | 21 | 45 | DDDWW |
| 5 |  Spartak Moscow | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 45 | WDWWL |
| 6 |  CSKA Moscow | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 44 | DDLWW |
| 14 | Krylia Sovetov | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 23 | LDDLD |
| 15 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 22 | LDDLL |
| 16 |  FC Sochi | 26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 18 | WWWLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonKrylia SovetovLokomotiv
1.41Goals p.g.2.13
1.59Goals conceded p.g.1.33
24%Clean sheets27%
35%Win rate60%
3Avg goals in match3.47
Recent Results
Krylia SovetovLAST MATCHES
21 AprFC Sochi2–1Krylia SovetovPremier League
18 AprKrylia Sovetov1–1CSKA MoscowPremier League
07 AprKrylia Sovetov2–5CSKA MoscowCup
04 AprZenit2–1Krylia SovetovPremier League
22 MarKrylia Sovetov0–0RubinPremier League
19 MarKrylia Sovetov2–2LokomotivCup
6Win35%
3Draw18%
7Lost41%
LAST MATCHESLokomotiv
18 AprFC Orenburg0–1LokomotivPremier League
05 AprSpartak Moscow2–1LokomotivPremier League
22 MarLokomotiv5–1AkronPremier League
19 MarKrylia Sovetov2–2LokomotivCup
15 MarRubin3–0LokomotivPremier League
09 MarLokomotiv2–2AkhmatPremier League
9Win60%
3Draw20%
3Lost20%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
6 playersKrylia Sovetov5
C. Geoffrey
QuestionableHamstring Injury
M. Vityugov
QuestionableInjury
R. Evgenyev
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
S. Babkin
Missing FixtureRed Card
T. Galdames
Missing FixtureRed Card
Lokomotiv1
A. Rudenko
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.76 (58.1%)
Both Teams Score1.62 (59.6%)
Value Bets
Krylia Sovetov Win3.94 (27.2%)
Lokomotiv Win1.93 (50.7%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.15 (41.9%)
BTTS No2.17 (40.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.65 (22.1%)
