Krylia Sovetov vs CSKA Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
#14 · Premier League
LDLLD
1 - 1
Samara Arena, Samara
Referee: Pavel Shadykhanov, Russia
CSKA Moscow
#6 · Premier League
LDWWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.84
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.76 (implied 56.8%) for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 58.0% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.72. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Krylia Sovetov will face CSKA Moscow in the Premier League at Samara Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Krylia Sovetov has a 28.5% probability of winning this match. CSKA Moscow has a 49.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.9%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- CSKA Moscow have won 3 of their last 5 games
- CSKA Moscow sit 6th in the table, 8 places above their opponents
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — CSKA Moscow49.6%1.88
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.556.7%1.88
Both Teams to Score
Yes58%1.76
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 5 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.48
15.5%
0-1
6.97
14.4%
1-2
7.71
13%
0-2
8.59
11.6%
1-0
11.11
9%
0-0
12.19
8.2%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.99 | Draw 3.68 | Away 1.88 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.88 | Under 2.00 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.25 | Under 3.72 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.09 | Under 1.34 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.76 | No 1.98 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.97 | 12 1.27 | X2 1.24 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.7%
Over 1.5 Goals74.8%
Over 2.5 Goals56.7%
Over 3.5 Goals30.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zenit | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 45 | 17 | 28 | 56 | DWDWW |
| 2 |  FC Krasnodar | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 54 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Lokomotiv | 26 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 49 | DWDLW |
| 4 |  Baltika | 25 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 15 | 21 | 45 | DDDWW |
| 5 |  Spartak Moscow | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 45 | WDWWL |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 44 | DDLWW |
| 14 | Krylia Sovetov | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 23 | LDDLD |
| 15 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 22 | LDDLL |
| 16 |  FC Sochi | 26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 18 | WWWLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonKrylia SovetovCSKA Moscow
1.41Goals p.g.1.88
1.59Goals conceded p.g.1.76
24%Clean sheets0%
35%Win rate41%
3Avg goals in match3.65
Recent Results
Krylia SovetovLAST MATCHES
21 AprFC Sochi2–1Krylia SovetovPremier League
18 AprKrylia Sovetov1–1CSKA MoscowPremier League
07 AprKrylia Sovetov2–5CSKA MoscowCup
04 AprZenit2–1Krylia SovetovPremier League
22 MarKrylia Sovetov0–0RubinPremier League
19 MarKrylia Sovetov2–2LokomotivCup
6Win35%
3Draw18%
7Lost41%
LAST MATCHESCSKA Moscow
21 AprCSKA Moscow0–1FC RostovPremier League
18 AprKrylia Sovetov1–1CSKA MoscowPremier League
07 AprKrylia Sovetov2–5CSKA MoscowCup
04 AprAkron1–2CSKA MoscowPremier League
21 MarCSKA Moscow3–1Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
17 MarFC Krasnodar4–0CSKA MoscowCup
7Win41%
4Draw24%
6Lost35%
Lineups
ConfirmedKrylia Sovetov4-2-3-1Confirmed
22Fernando CostanzaDEF
23Nikita ChernovDEF
47Sergey BozhinDEF
2Kirill PecheninDEF
11Amar RahmanovicFWD
30Sergey PesyakovGK
6Sergey BabkinMID
19Ivan OleynikovMID
77Ilzat AkhmetovMID
15Nikolay RasskazovMID
8Maksim VityugovMID
Substitutes
5Dominik OrozDEF
3Thomas GaldamesDEF
18Ivan LepskiyDEF
24Roman EvgenjevDEF
70Artem ShumanskiyFWD
91Vladimir IgnatenkoFWD
39Evgeni FrolovGK
80Nikita KokarevGK
20Kirill StolbovMID
14Mihajlo BanjacMID
26Jimmy MarínMID
10Vladimir KhubulovMID
CSKA Moscow4-2-3-1Confirmed
79Kirill DanilovDEF
22Milan GajicDEF
37Henrique CarmoDEF
3Danil KrugovoyDEF
9Luciano GondouFWD
49Vladislav ToropGK
17Kirill GlebovMID
31Matvey KislyakMID
6Dmitri BarinovMID
18Danila KozlovMID
10Ivan OblyakovMID
Substitutes
27MoisésDEF
67Mingiyan BadmaevDEF
4João VictorDEF
97Maksim VoronovFWD
11Tamerlan MusaevFWD
85Egor BesaevGK
99Nikolay BarovskiyGK
7Matheus AlvesMID
52Artem BandikyanMID
62Imran FirovMID
20Matija PopovićMID
Unavailable Players
5 playersKrylia Sovetov3
A. Sutormin
Missing FixtureInjury
C. Geoffrey
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury
V. Rakov
Missing FixtureFoot Injury
CSKA Moscow2
I. Akinfeev
Missing FixtureHeart Problems
M. Lukin
Missing FixtureHip Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.88 (56.7%)
Both Teams Score1.76 (58%)
Value Bets
Krylia Sovetov Win3.99 (28.5%)
CSKA Moscow Win1.88 (49.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.00 (43.3%)
BTTS No1.98 (42%)
Speculative
Draw3.68 (21.9%)
