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Kalju Nomme vs Vaprus

MeistriliigaRegular Season - 9
Kalju Nomme
#1 · Meistriliiga
LWWWW
1 - 2
Hiiu Stadium, Tallinn
Vaprus
#9 · Meistriliiga
WDLLL
69.7%
Home Win
15.7%
Draw
14.6%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
2.00
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.93 (implied 51.9%) for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 53.8% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.86. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Kalju Nomme will face Vaprus in the Meistriliiga at Hiiu Stadium.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Kalju Nomme has a 69.7% probability of winning this match. Vaprus has a 14.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 15.7%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Kalju Nomme are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
  • Kalju Nomme sit 1st in the table, 8 places above their opponents
  • Kalju Nomme have kept clean sheets in 40% of their matches
  • With a combined average of 3.5 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Strong confidence
Match Result
1 — Kalju Nomme69.7%1.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.564%1.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes53.8%1.93
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 8 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
2-0
6.12
16.5%
3-0
6.88
14.6%
1-0
7.70
13.1%
2-1
7.92
12.9%
3-1
9.08
11.2%
4-0
9.63
10.4%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 1.20Draw 5.82Away 10.79
O/U 2.5Over 1.43Under 2.60
O/U 1.5Over 1.11Under 5.42
O/U 3.5Over 2.10Under 1.65
BTTSYes 1.93No 1.76
Double Chance1X 1.0312 1.10X2 3.74

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
94.2%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
Over 3.5 Goals
44.1%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Meistriliiga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Kalju Nomme
86111841419
WLDWW
2
FC Levadia Tallinn
85301771018
WWDWD
3
Paide
8521169717
DWWWW
4
Laagri
84131312113
DWLLW
5
Flora Tallinn
84041411312
WLWWL
6
Kuressaare
8305915-69
LWWLL
8
Nõmme United
82151821-37
LLWLD
9
Vaprus
8215717-107
WDLLL
10
Trans Narva
8206919-106
LLLWL

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Kalju NommeVaprus
1.8Goals p.g.1.75
0.87Goals conceded p.g.2.12
40%Clean sheets19%
53%Win rate31%
2.67Avg goals in match3.88

Recent Results

Kalju NommeLAST MATCHES
19 AprPaide1–0Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
08 AprLaagri0–2Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
03 AprKalju Nomme2–1Trans NarvaMeistriliiga
21 MarKalju Nomme4–0KuressaareMeistriliiga
15 MarFlora Tallinn0–1Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
08 MarTammeka0–1Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
8Win53%
3Draw20%
3Lost20%
LAST MATCHESVaprus
21 AprKuressaare0–1VaprusMeistriliiga
18 AprVaprus0–0TammekaMeistriliiga
08 AprFC Levadia Tallinn2–1VaprusMeistriliiga
04 AprVaprus0–2LaagriMeistriliiga
21 MarTrans Narva2–1VaprusMeistriliiga
14 MarNõmme United7–1VaprusMeistriliiga
5Win31%
2Draw13%
9Lost56%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Kalju Nomme

No reported absences

Vaprus

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Kalju Nomme Win1.20 (69.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.43 (64%)
●Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.60 (36%)
Both Teams Score1.93 (53.8%)
BTTS No1.76 (46.2%)
●Speculative
Draw5.82 (15.7%)
Vaprus Win10.79 (14.6%)
Kalju Nomme vs Vaprus Predictions, Stats, H2H - 26 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro