Kalju Nomme vs Nõmme United

Kalju Nomme
#1 · Meistriliiga
LWWWW
7 - 1
Hiiu Stadium, Tallinn
Referee: K. Koppel

Nõmme United
#8 · Meistriliiga
LLDLW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.67
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.62 (implied 61.6%) for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 62.3% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.61. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Kalju Nomme will face Nõmme United in the Meistriliiga at Hiiu Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Kalju Nomme has a 65.6% probability of winning this match. Nõmme United has a 16.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 18%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Kalju Nomme are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Nõmme United average 2.5 goals per game
- Kalju Nomme have kept clean sheets in 40% of their matches
- With a combined average of 4.3 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
1 — Kalju Nomme65.6%1.34
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.567.3%1.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes62.3%1.62
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-0
7.29
13.8%
2-1
7.39
13.6%
1-0
8.36
12.1%
1-1
8.53
11.8%
3-0
9.15
11%
3-1
9.19
11%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.34 | Draw 4.53 | Away 6.53 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.43 | Under 2.52 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.10 | Under 5.11 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.10 | Under 1.63 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.62 | No 2.09 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.07 | 12 1.13 | X2 2.79 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals94.4%
Over 1.5 Goals82%
Over 2.5 Goals67.3%
Over 3.5 Goals43.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 19 | WLDWW | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 | WWDWD | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 17 | DWWWW | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 | DWLLW | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 | WLWWL | |
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 9 | LWWLL | |
| 8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 7 | LLWLD | |
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 | WDLLL | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 6 | LLLWL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonKalju NommeNõmme United
1.8Goals p.g.2.53
0.87Goals conceded p.g.2.33
40%Clean sheets13%
53%Win rate40%
2.67Avg goals in match4.87
Recent Results
Kalju NommeLAST MATCHES
19 AprPaide1–0Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
08 AprLaagri0–2Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
03 AprKalju Nomme2–1Trans NarvaMeistriliiga
21 MarKalju Nomme4–0KuressaareMeistriliiga
15 MarFlora Tallinn0–1Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
08 MarTammeka0–1Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
8Win53%
3Draw20%
3Lost20%
LAST MATCHESNõmme United
18 AprNõmme United1–2LaagriMeistriliiga
08 AprPaide3–1Nõmme UnitedMeistriliiga
04 AprFC Levadia Tallinn1–1Nõmme UnitedMeistriliiga
21 MarNõmme United2–3TammekaMeistriliiga
14 MarNõmme United7–1VaprusMeistriliiga
10 MarFlora Tallinn3–1Nõmme UnitedCup
6Win40%
2Draw13%
7Lost47%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Kalju Nomme
No reported absences
Nõmme United
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Kalju Nomme Win1.34 (65.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.43 (67.3%)
Both Teams Score1.62 (62.3%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.52 (32.7%)
BTTS No2.09 (37.7%)
Speculative
Draw4.53 (18%)
Nõmme United Win6.53 (16.4%)







