Juventus vs Bologna

Serie ARegular Season - 33

Juventus

#4 · Serie A

WWWDW

2 - 0

Allianz Stadium, Turin

Referee: M. Mariani

Bologna

#8 · Serie A

LLWLW

63.7%

Home Win

19%

Draw

17.3%

Away Win

★ OUR PICK

Over 2.5 Goals

Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.

Totals

1.74

BEST ODDS

Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.68 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 55.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.

Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Juventus will face Bologna in the Serie A at Allianz Stadium.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Juventus has a 63.7% probability of winning this match. Bologna has a 17.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 19%.

Key factors in this prediction:

Juventus are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
Juventus have kept clean sheets in 40% of their matches

Match Preview

Predictions

Moderate confidence

Match Result

1 — Juventus63.7%1.44

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.555.4%1.68

✓ OUR PICK

Both Teams to Score

Yes52.9%1.86

Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes

2-0

6.83

14.7%

1-0

7.00

14.3%

2-1

7.73

13%

1-1

8.19

12.2%

3-0

9.34

10.8%

3-1

10.59

9.5%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds

Market	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3
1X2	Home 1.44	Draw 4.64	Away 7.03
O/U 2.5	Over 1.68	Under 2.20
O/U 1.5	Over 1.20	Under 4.33
O/U 3.5	Over 2.65	Under 1.46
BTTS	Yes 1.86	No 1.88
Double Chance	1X 1.10	12 1.18	X2 2.75

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds

Over 0.5 Goals

92%

Over 1.5 Goals

78.2%

Over 2.5 Goals

55.4%

Over 3.5 Goals

35.5%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Inter	33	25	3	5	78	29	49	78	WWWDD
2	Napoli	34	21	6	7	52	33	19	69	WLDWW
3	AC Milan	33	19	9	5	48	27	21	66	WLLWL
4	Juventus	33	18	9	6	57	29	28	63	WWWDW
5	Como	33	16	10	7	57	28	29	58	LLDWW
6	AS Roma	33	18	4	11	46	29	17	58	DWLWL
8	Bologna	33	14	6	13	42	39	3	48	LWWLW
18	Lecce	33	7	7	19	22	46	-24	28	DLLLL
19	Hellas Verona	33	3	9	21	23	56	-33	18	LLLLL
20	Pisa	33	2	12	19	24	60	-36	18	LLLLW

Key Statistics

2025 Season

JuventusBologna

1.8Goals p.g.1.18

1.47Goals conceded p.g.1.18

40%Clean sheets35%

47%Win rate53%

3.27Avg goals in match2.35

Recent Results

JuventusLAST MATCHES

19 AprJuventus2–0BolognaSerie A

11 AprAtalanta0–1JuventusSerie A

06 AprJuventus2–0GenoaSerie A

21 MarJuventus1–1SassuoloSerie A

14 MarUdinese0–1JuventusSerie A

07 MarJuventus4–0PisaSerie A

7Win47%

4Draw27%

4Lost27%

LAST MATCHESBologna

19 AprJuventus2–0BolognaSerie A

09 AprBologna1–3Aston VillaUEFA Europa League

05 AprCremonese1–2BolognaSerie A

22 MarBologna0–2LazioSerie A

19 MarAS Roma3–4BolognaUEFA Europa League

15 MarSassuolo0–1BolognaSerie A

9Win53%

2Draw12%

6Lost35%

Lineups

Confirmed

Juventus3-4-2-1Confirmed

3BremerDEF

6Lloyd KellyDEF

15Pierre KaluluDEF

7Francisco ConceiçãoFWD

30Jonathan DavidFWD

13Jeremie BogaFWD

16Michele Di GregorioGK

27Andrea CambiasoMID

22Weston McKennieMID

5Manuel LocatelliMID

2Emil HolmMID

Substitutes

4Federico GattiDEF

11Edon ZhegrovaFWD

20Loïs OpendaFWD

10Kenan YıldızFWD

23Carlo PinsoglioGK

42Simone ScagliaGK

21Fabio MirettiMID

18Filip KosticMID

8Teun KoopmeinersMID

19Khéphren ThuramMID

Bologna4-3-3Confirmed

20Nadir ZorteaDEF

5Eivind HellandDEF

33Juan MirandaDEF

26Jhon LucumíDEF

7Riccardo OrsoliniFWD

9Santiago CastroFWD

28Nicolò CambiaghiFWD

13Federico RavagliaGK

4Tommaso PobegaMID

8Remo FreulerMID

23Simon SohmMID

Substitutes

14Torbjørn HeggemDEF

17João MárioDEF

22Charalampos LykogiannisDEF

29Lorenzo De SilvestriDEF

41Martin VitíkDEF

10Federico BernardeschiFWD

21Jens OdgaardFWD

11Jonathan RoweFWD

73Francesco CastaldoFWD

82Matteo FranceschelliGK

25Massimo PessinaGK

19Lewis FergusonMID

6Nikola MoroMID

Unavailable Players

10 players

Juventus5

✕A. Milik

Missing FixtureMuscle Injury

✕D. Vlahovic

Missing FixtureCalf Injury

✕J. Cabal

Missing FixtureMuscle Injury

✕K. Yildiz

QuestionableKnee Injury

✕M. Perin

Missing FixtureInjury

Bologna5

✕B. Dominguez

Missing FixtureHip Injury

✕K. Bonifazi

Missing FixtureInactive

✕L. Skorupski

Missing FixtureMuscle Injury

✕N. Casale

Missing FixtureInjury

✕T. Dallinga

Missing FixtureInjury

Betting Strategy

●High Probability

Juventus Win1.44 (63.7%)

Over 2.5 Goals1.68 (55.4%)

●Value Bets

Under 2.5 Goals2.20 (44.6%)

Both Teams Score1.86 (52.9%)

BTTS No1.88 (47.1%)

●Speculative

Draw4.64 (19%)

Bologna Win7.03 (17.3%)

Juventus vs Bologna

Match Overview

Match Preview

Predictions

Correct Score

Match Odds

Goals Probability

Head to Head

Serie A Standings

Key Statistics

Recent Results

Lineups

Juventus3-4-2-1Confirmed

Bologna4-3-3Confirmed

Unavailable Players

Juventus5

Bologna5

Betting Strategy

More Serie A