Ipswich vs Middlesbrough
Ipswich
#3 · Championship
WDLWW
2 - 2
Portman Road, Ipswich
Referee: J. Gillett
Middlesbrough
#5 · Championship
DDLDD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.64 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 56.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Ipswich will face Middlesbrough in the Championship at Portman Road.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Ipswich has a 45.8% probability of winning this match. Middlesbrough has a 31.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.1%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Ipswich have won 3 of their last 5 games
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Ipswich45.8%2.30
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.552.1%1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes56.5%1.64
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.26
16%
1-0
8.34
12%
2-1
8.50
11.9%
0-1
9.62
10.4%
1-2
9.89
10.2%
0-0
10.45
9.7%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.30 | Draw 3.44 | Away 2.89 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.82 | Under 1.97 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.25 | Under 3.69 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.98 | Under 1.36 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.64 | No 2.15 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.38 | 12 1.28 | X2 1.58 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.9%
Over 1.5 Goals74.6%
Over 2.5 Goals52.1%
Over 3.5 Goals31.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry | 44 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 90 | 44 | 46 | 89 | WDDDW |
| 2 |  Millwall | 45 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 61 | 48 | 13 | 80 | WWDLW |
| 3 | Ipswich | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 79 | WDLWW |
| 4 |  Southampton | 44 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 77 | 53 | 24 | 76 | DWWWW |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 44 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 76 | WDLDL |
| 6 |  Wrexham | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 66 | 60 | 6 | 70 | WWLLD |
| 22 |  Oxford United | 44 | 10 | 14 | 20 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 | LLWDD |
| 23 |  Leicester | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 43 | DLLDD |
| 24 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 44 | 1 | 12 | 31 | 26 | 84 | -58 | -3 | LDDDL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonIpswichMiddlesbrough
1.65Goals p.g.1.6
1.29Goals conceded p.g.1
29%Clean sheets33%
47%Win rate40%
2.94Avg goals in match2.6
Recent Results
IpswichLAST MATCHES
22 AprCharlton1–2IpswichChampionship
19 AprIpswich2–2MiddlesbroughChampionship
14 AprPortsmouth2–0IpswichChampionship
11 AprNorwich0–2IpswichChampionship
06 AprIpswich2–1BirminghamChampionship
21 MarIpswich1–1MillwallChampionship
8Win47%
5Draw29%
4Lost24%
LAST MATCHESMiddlesbrough
19 AprIpswich2–2MiddlesbroughChampionship
06 AprSwansea2–2MiddlesbroughChampionship
03 AprMiddlesbrough1–2MillwallChampionship
21 MarBlackburn0–0MiddlesbroughChampionship
14 MarMiddlesbrough1–1Bristol CityChampionship
11 MarMiddlesbrough0–1CharltonChampionship
6Win40%
6Draw40%
3Lost20%
Lineups
ConfirmedIpswich4-2-3-1Confirmed
19Darnell FurlongDEF
3Leif DavisDEF
24Jacob GreavesDEF
26Dara O'SheaDEF
31Ivan AzónFWD
28Christian WaltonGK
14Jack TaylorMID
5Azor MatusiwaMID
11Jaden Philogene-BidaceMID
32Marcelino NúñezMID
20Kasey McAteerMID
Substitutes
4Cédric KipréDEF
18Ben JohnsonDEF
8Sindre Walle EgeliFWD
9George HirstFWD
47Jack ClarkeFWD
29Chuba AkpomFWD
1Alex PalmerGK
6Dan NeilMID
33Anis MehmetiMID
Middlesbrough3-5-2Confirmed
6Dael FryDEF
29Adilson MalandaDEF
12Luke AylingDEF
9Tommy ConwayFWD
13David StrelecFWD
31Solomon BrynnGK
2Callum BrittainMID
3Matt TargettMID
14Alexander GilbertMID
18Aidan MorrisMID
16Alan BrowneMID
Substitutes
24Alex BanguraDEF
25George EdmundsonDEF
22Samuel SilveraFWD
20Mamadou Kaly SeneFWD
44Cruz IbehFWD
11Morgan WhittakerFWD
27Sontje HansenFWD
32Joe WildsmithGK
45Jeremy SarmientoMID
Unavailable Players
10 playersIpswich4
A. Young
Missing FixtureHip Injury
C. Townsend
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
D. Button
Missing FixtureCalf Injury
W. Burns
Missing FixtureCalf Injury
Middlesbrough6
A. Bangura
Missing FixtureInjury
A. Jones
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
D. Lenihan
Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury
H. Hackney
Missing FixtureCalf Injury
L. Castledine
Missing FixtureInactive
M. Whittaker
QuestionableInactive
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.64 (56.5%)
Value Bets
Ipswich Win2.30 (45.8%)
Middlesbrough Win2.89 (31.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.82 (52.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.97 (47.9%)
BTTS No2.15 (43.5%)
Speculative
Draw3.44 (23.1%)
