Hellas Verona vs Lecce
Hellas Verona
#19 · Serie A
LLLLL
0 - 0
Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi, Verona
Referee: D. Massa
Lecce
#18 · Serie A
DLLLW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
1.70
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.65 for Both Teams Not to Score. Our model calculates a 56.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Hellas Verona will face Lecce in the Serie A at Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Hellas Verona has a 33.7% probability of winning this match. Lecce has a 39.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 26.8%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Both teams average a combined 1.2 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Lecce39.5%3.18
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.564.4%1.44
Both Teams to Score
No56.7%1.65
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.56
18%
1-0
5.75
17.4%
0-0
6.07
16.5%
0-1
6.68
15%
2-1
9.80
10.3%
2-0
9.91
10.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.49 | Draw 2.92 | Away 3.18 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.69 | Under 1.44 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.58 | Under 2.40 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 5.50 | Under 1.13 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.15 | No 1.65 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.35 | 12 1.38 | X2 1.52 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals84.6%
Over 1.5 Goals60.4%
Over 2.5 Goals35.6%
Over 3.5 Goals17.1%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 33 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 78 | 29 | 49 | 78 | WWWDD |
| 2 |  Napoli | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 69 | WLDWW |
| 3 |  AC Milan | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 | WLLWL |
| 4 |  Juventus | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 57 | 29 | 28 | 63 | WWWDW |
| 5 |  Como | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 58 | LLDWW |
| 6 |  AS Roma | 33 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 58 | DWLWL |
| 18 | Lecce | 33 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 28 | DLLLL |
| 19 | Hellas Verona | 33 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 23 | 56 | -33 | 18 | LLLLL |
| 20 |  Pisa | 33 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 24 | 60 | -36 | 18 | LLLLW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonHellas VeronaLecce
0.53Goals p.g.0.71
1.73Goals conceded p.g.1.36
13%Clean sheets14%
7%Win rate21%
2.27Avg goals in match2.07
Recent Results
Hellas VeronaLAST MATCHES
19 AprHellas Verona0–1AC MilanSerie A
11 AprTorino2–1Hellas VeronaSerie A
04 AprHellas Verona0–1FiorentinaSerie A
22 MarAtalanta1–0Hellas VeronaSerie A
15 MarHellas Verona0–2GenoaSerie A
08 MarBologna1–2Hellas VeronaSerie A
1Win7%
2Draw13%
12Lost80%
LAST MATCHESLecce
20 AprLecce1–1FiorentinaSerie A
06 AprLecce0–3AtalantaSerie A
22 MarAS Roma1–0LecceSerie A
14 MarNapoli2–1LecceSerie A
08 MarLecce2–1CremoneseSerie A
28 FebComo3–1LecceSerie A
3Win21%
2Draw14%
9Lost64%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
14 playersHellas Verona7
A. Sarr
QuestionableInactive
C. Niasse
Missing FixtureInjury
D. Mosquera
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
D. Oyegoke
Missing FixtureInjury
G. Orban
Missing FixtureInactive
K. Bowie
QuestionableInjury
S. Serdar
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Lecce7
F. Camarda
QuestionableShoulder Injury
F. Marchwiński
Missing FixtureJumpers knee
K. Gaspar
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
M. Berisha
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
R. Sottil
Missing FixtureBack Injury
S. Fofana
Missing FixtureInactive
Tiago Gabriel
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.44 (64.4%)
BTTS No1.65 (56.7%)
Value Bets
Hellas Verona Win2.49 (33.7%)
Draw2.92 (26.8%)
Lecce Win3.18 (39.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.69 (35.6%)
Both Teams Score2.15 (43.3%)
